Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 290818
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
418 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AIR WILL SURGE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION TODAY WHERE SUNSHINE AND LIGHT SOUTH WINDS WILL PRODUCE
A VERY WARM AFTERNOON. A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS MAY BLOSSOM
WITHIN THE AFTERNOON HEAT ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK THOUGH
TONIGHT...WITH ACTIVITY IN A MUCH WEAKER STATE AS IT NEARS THE LAKE
ONTARIO REGION. THE GREATER COVERAGE AND INTENSITY TO SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY ALONG A COLD FRONT
THAT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-292115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
418 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           65           86
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  7                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  7         S  6        SW 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.05         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  8 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               35           83           46
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 3            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7750            0         6470
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  9         S  5        SW 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69750            0       174690
DISPERSION INDEX                   70            0          175
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-292115-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
418 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           63           82
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  9         S  8        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.06         0.35
PRECIP DURATION                                  2            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               37           86           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7040            0         6540
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 10         S 11        SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               70400            0       143880
DISPERSION INDEX                   70            0          144
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-292115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
418 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       87           66           87
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE  8        SE  8        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.26
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               33           77           42
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3
LAL                                 1            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7260            0         6710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 10        SE  7        SW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72600            0       147620
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            0          148
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-292115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
418 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     CLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       84           63           84
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  6         S  6        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.33
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               31           83           52
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            3
LAL                                 1            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6540           10         6560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  6         S  8        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               39240           80       164000
DISPERSION INDEX                   39            0          164
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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