Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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931
FNUS53 KDTX 260751
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
351 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...A warm front will lift north of the area Wednesday,
bringing much warmer temperatures with highs around 80. As south to
southeast winds gust to 30 mph by midday, expect minimum RH values to
drop into the 40s. Low pressure will drag a cold front through the
area on Thursday, bringing a chance of showers and storms. This
increased moisture will hold afternoon RH values in the 50s. South to
southwest winds will be very gusty once again, reaching 35 mph at
times.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-261915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
351 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 10 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until noon then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5530-6030 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1760).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 am then a
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........75-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 30 mph becoming southwest
                    around 45 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3060).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-261915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
351 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph becoming south
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3490-3990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1300).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........77-87 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming south
                    around 10 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......580-780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 8 am until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms
                    after 8 am. Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance
                    of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 15 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6760-7260 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph becoming southwest 40
                    to 45 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3170).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-261915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
351 AM EDT Wed Apr 26 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5210-5710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south
                    around 30 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1640).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........76-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph decreasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph increasing to
                    southwest 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6690-7190 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph becoming southwest
                    around 40 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (3260).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 40s. Highs around 60. East winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

$$

DRK



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