Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 230813
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
413 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will track across the eastern Carolinas from the
northwest late today and Thursday then pass of the coast Thursday
night. Canadian high pressure will build in behind the front
bringing drier and breezier weather with slightly below normal
temps for the weekend.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is favorable.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-240015-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
413 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           80           70
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            5            4
Min/Max Temp          92           75           84
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  6        SW  9        W  4
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  7        W  4
Precip amount         0.05         0.41         0.38
Precip duration       1            6            6
Inversion             80/0900      2000         77/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        53           94           68
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4630                      4090
Transport wnd (mph)   SW  9                     W  6
Ventilation rate      41670                     24540
ADI early             17 Gen poor  25 Fair      10 poor
ADI late              28 Fair      7 poor       18 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       6            4            6
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. North
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 86 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-240015-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
413 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        40           80           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            5            4
Min/Max Temp          93           73           85
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S  7         NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        SW  5        N  4
Precip amount         0.09         0.53         0.19
Precip duration       1            8            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         76/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        49           98           62
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5040                      4520
Transport wnd (mph)   W 10                      N  6
Ventilation rate      50400                     27120
ADI early             22 Fair      28 Fair      29 Fair
ADI late              35 Fair      4 Very poor  28 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            6            8
Max LVORI late        2            8            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
86 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
87 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 84 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

SCZ053>056-240015-
Inland Horry-Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-
Including the cities of Conway, Red Hill, Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown,
and Murrells Inlet
413 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            70           70
Precip type           None         Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   1            4            4
Min/Max Temp          93           75           86
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        S 10         W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  8        SW  6        W  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.36         0.33
Precip duration                    5            7
Inversion             80/0900      2000         78/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        51           97           64
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          3            3            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   4860                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)   W  9                      W  7
Ventilation rate      43740                     28700
ADI early             14 Gen poor  26 Fair      12 poor
ADI late              29 Fair      8 poor       24 Fair
Max LVORI early       7            4            7
Max LVORI late        2            6            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 85 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 84 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent.
Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-240015-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
413 AM EDT Wed Aug 23 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud amount          PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        30           80           60
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
LAL                   3            5            4
Min/Max Temp          94           73           87
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  5        SW  7        NW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     SW  7        W  4         N  4
Precip amount         0.09         0.45         0.16
Precip duration       1            5            2
Inversion             80/0900      2000         76/0900
Dispersion                         Fair
Max/Min RH (%)        45           98           58
DSI                   3                         2
Haines Index          4            4            3
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)   5350                      4520
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 10                     NW  6
Ventilation rate      53500                     27120
ADI early             21 Fair      27 Fair      29 Fair
ADI late              37 Fair      5 Very poor  26 Fair
Max LVORI early       8            5            8
Max LVORI late        2            7            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 95 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
89 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
83 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
45 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
85 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH
46 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 80 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

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