Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 290946
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
546 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER
WILL COMBINE DISTURBANCES MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES AND OH
VALLEY REGION TO BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE BOUNDARY SHOULD GRADUALLY DROP SOUTH THROUGH
KY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BRIEFLY SETTLE SOUTH OF THE AREA
FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY... LEADING TO A BREAK IN THE
RAIN CHANCES. HOWEVER...UNSETTLED WEATHER SHOULD RETURN FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

KYZ068-079-083-084-292045-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
546 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....32.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (32400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................22.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.22 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................25 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.16 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (70200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................18 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-292045-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
546 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
VENT RATE...........POOR (22600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................18.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.29 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................22 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.25 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....90.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (90100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................45.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.11 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-292045-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
546 AM EDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....26.
VENT RATE...........POOR (26000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................21.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 - 0.24 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................19 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.05 - 0.24 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....65.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (65400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................33.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.12 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
OR THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JP



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