Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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FNUS53 KJKL 280924
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
524 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW 30 PERCENT POSSIBLE TODAY...

...A FEW WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED WEATHER TO EASTERN KENTUCKY  THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK. SOME OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS. HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
LOWS TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE UPPER 40S AND LOWER 50S. A LOOK
AHEAD SHOWS THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTING OUT BY SUNDAY
FOLLOWED BY DRIER  AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER AS WE HEAD
INTO THE BEGINNING OF OCTOBER.


KYZ068-079-083-084-282045-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
524 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....197.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (199400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................32 INCREASING TO 129 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................95 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.21 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....31.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30600 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................24.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......30 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-282045-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
524 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....172.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (172900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................31 INCREASING TO 96 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.20 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................77 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............8.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.09 - 0.36 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19700 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................16.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......50 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.18 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-282045-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
524 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....147.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (147300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................28 INCREASING TO 114 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.03 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG
                    DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................91 DECREASING TO 2 LATE.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.02 - 0.29 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......37 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18400 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................14.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.00 - 0.18 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PATCHY
FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS DAWN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS
DAWN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
EVENING.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

JVM/GEOGERIAN


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