Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 240921
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
521 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...AS AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEPART
TO THE EAST...A RETURN FLOW OF WARMER AND HUMID AIR WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH AND APPALACHIAN REGION. A COUPLE OF
PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL INTERACT WITH THIS AIRMASS
TO BRING A FEW STRAY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY...
BUT MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY. THEN...A WEAK COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO DROP ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND BRING ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BRING CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS OVER THE UPCOMING WEEKEND
AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH SMALL CHANCES FOR ISOLATED MAINLY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

KYZ068-079-083-084-242100-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROADHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
521 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (35200 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................34.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................29 DECREASING TO 3 LATE.
LVORI...............7.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......0-5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....59.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (59100 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................40 INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-242100-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINSVILLE...CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...
INEZ
521 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH A STRAY SHOWER POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....41.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (41500 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................18 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................41 DECREASING TO 3 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....86.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (85800 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................44 INCREASING TO 70 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-242100-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
521 AM EDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY WITH A STRAY SHOWER POSSIBLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....38.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38000 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................23 INCREASING TO 33 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
                    THUNDERSTORM LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
ADI.................30 DECREASING TO 4 LATE.
LVORI...............6.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....60.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................37 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TOWARDS
DAWN. LOWS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 90. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 90. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 90. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 70. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

JP/JVM



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