Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS53 KLMK 280735
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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DROP INTO THE OHIO
VALLEY TODAY AND LINGER OVER THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE A DAILY CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH MAINLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS FOR LATE
SEPTEMBER. A LOOK AHEAD SHOWS THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW LIFTING OUT BY
SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER AS WE HEAD
INTO THE FIRST PART OF OCTOBER.

INZ076-083-084-089-282130-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...JASPER...ENGLISH...TELL CITY
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 /235 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      68 (-9)      47 (-3)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      53 (+18)     100 (+10)    59
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)6667                      7079
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 13                     NE 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     88942                     86472
DISPERSION            GOOD                      GOOD
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             16 GEN POOR  12 POOR      27 FAIR
ADI LATE              51 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  40 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            9
MAX LVORI LATE        2            9            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-282130-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEWISPORT...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...
HARTFORD...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...HODGENVILLE...
MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...HORSE CAVE...RUSSELLVILLE...
BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...PROVIDENCE...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 /235 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           40
TEMP (24H TREND)      74 (-1)      46 (-4)      64
RH % (24H TREND)      45 (+12)     100 (+9)     63
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  6 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.02
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)8908                      6594
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     227708                    65605
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  MOD UNSTBL   SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2
HAINES INDEX          4            2            3
ADI EARLY             50 GEN GOOD  10 POOR      22 FAIR
ADI LATE              87 GOOD      4 VERY POOR  33 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-282130-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON...
CORYDON...NEW ALBANY...JEFFERSONVILLE...BRANDENBURG...
SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE...BEDFORD...MILTON...
NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...TAYLORSVILLE...BARDSTOWN
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      69 (-7)      48 (-2)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      53 (+20)     100 (+12)    59
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.04         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)9174                      6565
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      N  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     185841                    65569
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      8 POOR       18 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              64 GOOD      5 VERY POOR  32 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            8
MAX LVORI LATE        2            8            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-282130-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN...CYNTHIANA...
LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON...PARIS...CARLISLE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG...NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      71 (-5)      49 (-1)      65
RH % (24H TREND)      47 (+17)     95 (+7)      56
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  6                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  7 G17     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.24         0.08         0.04
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)10174                     6575
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     N  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     262613                    47126
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 FAIR
DSI                   STBL         SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             66 GOOD      5 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              101 VERY GOOD5 VERY POOR  30 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        3            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$

KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-282130-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LEBANON...DANVILLE...LANCASTER...
RICHMOND...GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...
TOMPKINSVILLE...EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...
ALBANY
335 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 /235 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (0)       48 (0)       63
RH % (24H TREND)      41 (+11)     98 (+5)      61
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH)   SW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH)   W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.09         0.03
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)10429                     6731
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 30                     NW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)     271842                    55382
DISPERSION            EXCELLENT                 GOOD
DSI                   SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL  SLGT UNSTBL
LAL                   2            2            2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3
ADI EARLY             64 GOOD      11 POOR      24 FAIR
ADI LATE              110 VERY GOOD5 VERY POOR  25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            3

REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
EAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.

$$


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