Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMEG 180838
FWFMEG

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS. DRIER AIR WILL WORK INTO THE MIDSOUTH
TONIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND WITH DRY WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

BY SUNDAY...THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE COMBINED WITH A COLD
FRONT WILL PROVIDE ENOUGH LIFT TO KICK OFF A FEW STORMS. THE WEATHER
PATTERN WILL REMAIN ACTIVE SUNDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT COOL CANADIAN
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND TEMPERATURES WILL HOVER IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S WITH LOW HUMIDITY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-182315-
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-LAWRENCE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-
POINSETT-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING...MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.18         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+10)     60 (0)       83
RH % (24H TREND)      69 (-8)      89 (-11)     49
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   NE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   NE 2-6       NE 2-6       LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    825                       1359
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   2707                      4458
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    911                       1445
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   2989                      4740
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  3                     NE  2
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     NE  5
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2733                      2890
CATEGORY DAY          2                         2
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 71                        75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  4                      E  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  8                      E  7
DISPERSION INDEX      19           10           17
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  2            2            3
STABILITY             C            E            B
STAGNATION INDEX      1            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

ARZ035-036-048-049-058-182315-
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-
INCLUDING...EAST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...ST. FRANCIS NATIONAL FOREST
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.24         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      81 (+4)      64 (+2)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      67 (+2)      91 (-8)      53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   NE 2-6
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NE 2-6       NE 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1692                      1717
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5550                      5632
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1754                      1779
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   5753                      5835
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NW  2                     N  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     N  8
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3508                      7116
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80                        79
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  3                      NE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  6                      NE  9
DISPERSION INDEX      12           10           24
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             B            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      1            0            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ001>004-019>022-051-182315-
BENTON TN-CARROLL-CROCKETT-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT NORTH
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      1
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           1 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      76 (+8)      56 (+2)      83
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (-2)      90 (-10)     45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1147                      1519
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3762                      4984
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1266                      1640
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   4155                      5380
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  3                     E  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     E  6
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3798                      4920
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70                        74
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  3                      E  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  7                      E  6
DISPERSION INDEX      19           7            17
LAL                   3            2            1
LASI                  2            3            4
STABILITY             B            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      3            3            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
60. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

TNZ048>050-052>055-088>091-182315-
CHESTER-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-LAUDERDALE-
MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-
INCLUDING...WEST TENNESSEE DISTRICT SOUTH
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.26         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      79 (+7)      59 (+1)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (+3)      94 (-5)      45
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    959                       1493
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   3145                      4899
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1080                      1616
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   3544                      5301
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NE  2                     NE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  5                     NE  6
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     2160                      4848
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 73                        75
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  3                     NE  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE  6                     NE  7
DISPERSION INDEX      14           9            19
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  2            3            4
STABILITY             B            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      2            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-182315-
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     40           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.38         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      82 (+1)      65 (+1)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      65 (+5)      94 (-4)      53
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      NE 2-6       NE 2-6
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1663                      1830
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5457                      6003
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1735                      1902
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   5693                      6239
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NW  2                     N  4
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     N  8
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     3470                      7608
CATEGORY DAY          2                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81                        80
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  E  2                      NE  4
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  E  5                      NE  8
DISPERSION INDEX      12           7            26
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             B            E            C
STAGNATION INDEX      2            1            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-182315-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-
INCLUDING...NORTH MISSISSIPPI PORTION NATCHEZ TRACE PARKWAY...
NORTH UNIT HOLLY SPRINGS NATIONAL FOREST...
NORTH UNIT TOMBIGBEE NATIONAL FOREST...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
338 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHANCE (%)     30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
PRECIP AMOUNT (IN)    0.30         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DUR (HRS)      2
PRECIP BEGINS         6 AM
PRECIP ENDS           6 PM
TEMP (24H TREND)      82 (+3)      63 (+2)      84
RH % (24H TREND)      62 (+5)      95 (-5)      48
AM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM 20 FT WIND (MPH)   LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT (M-AGL)    1463                      1595
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4801                      5234
MIXING HGT (M-MSL)    1587                      1719
MIXING HGT (FT-MSL)   5207                      5640
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)   NW  4                     N  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N  6
VENT INDEX (M2/S)     6348                      5157
CATEGORY DAY          3                         3
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 78                        77
500M TSPT WIND (M/S)  NE  2                     NE  3
500M TSPT WIND (MPH)  NE  5                     NE  6
DISPERSION INDEX      30           7            21
LAL                   3            3            1
LASI                  3            3            3
STABILITY             B            F            B
STAGNATION INDEX      2            2            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.SUNDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
.MONDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$







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