Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 202025
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL SWING ACROSS THE
REGION LATE SUNDAY AND EARLY MONDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL BRING AN AREA
OF LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. RAIN SHOWERS
ON TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY WILL CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS FOR
CHRISTMAS EVE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212130-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    44-49 (+4)   33-38        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+6)   46-51 (-19)  87-92        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.05
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      S  8
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    7 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212130-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (0)    42-47 (+3)   33-38        45-50
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  55-60 (-9)   88-93        62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           50
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      S 16
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  7 G17    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-212130-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-1)   43-48 (+5)   36-41        47-52
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  53-58 (-15)  85-90        64-69
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           30
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.05         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  3                      SW  9
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 50.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-212130-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-3)   47-52 (+5)   38-43        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 57-62 (-11)  89-94        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           20
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  5                     S 10
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-212130-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      30-35 (-2)   47-52 (+5)   38-43        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  60-65 (-13)  90-95        62-67
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           40
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.07         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4200                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S 14
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    5 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI                          8                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  6        S  5

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-2)   47-52 (+5)   34-39        49-54
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  47-52 (-14)  87-92        58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           30
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  2                      SE  7
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212130-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-3)   47-52 (+4)   35-40        51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 42-47 (-14)  88-93        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         DRIZZLE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    10 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  3                     S  8
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS NEAR 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212130-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
325 PM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-4)   49-54 (+3)   37-42        52-57
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+13)  47-52 (-5)   90-95        60-65
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  6
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         RAIN         DRIZZLE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           0
PRECIP DURATION                                 1
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 PM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  5                      S 13
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   20 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$



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