Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 190746
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
DRIER CONDITIONS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION TODAY WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE
FORECAST LATE TUESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      59-64 (+2)   36-41 (-5)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+7)   95-100 (+4)  35-40
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            11 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4800                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12                     E  5
Dispersion            28 Fair                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  6                      LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+1)   36-41 (-3)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      54-59 (+8)   91-96 (0)    34-39
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G22                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     S  6
Dispersion            29 Fair                   7 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G22                 NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G20    NW  5        NE  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-200900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      56-61 (+6)   37-42 (-2)   62-67
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (+3)   89-94 (-1)   38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW  6 G19                 NE  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G18     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      4200
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13                     NW  6
Dispersion            16 Gen poor               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  8 G19                 NE  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  8 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s to lower
50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 30s to lower 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-200900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      61-66 (+9)   38-43 (-3)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      50-55 (-5)   95-100 (+5)  39-44
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4200                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13                      SW  6
Dispersion            22 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW  5                     E  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-200900-
Nantahala National Forest-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MClear       MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+9)   34-39 (-6)   65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-8)   95-100 (+3)  41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5 G16                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6 G15     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     SW  7
DISPERSION            26 Fair                   11 Poor
MAX LVORI             5                         6
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  7 G16                 E  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper
60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200900-
East Tennessee District East-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      60-65 (+5)   36-41 (-6)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+5)   95-100 (+5)  37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            11 AM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4300                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     NE  5
Dispersion            24 Fair                   10 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W  5                      NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s
to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200900-
East Tennessee District West-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      62-67 (+10)  38-43 (-4)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-8)   95-100 (+5)  40-45
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8                     E  6
Dispersion            19 Gen poor               12 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Cooler. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s. North winds
less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-200900-
Cumberland District South-
246 AM EST Sun Feb 19 2017 /146 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      64-69 (+12)  41-46 (-2)   67-72
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (-7)   95-100 (+3)  41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3900                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 10                     SE  7
Dispersion            24 Fair                   13 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 50. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in
the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the 50s. North winds up to 10 mph.

$$



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