Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 121146
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
446 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2014

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##    Then edit them in this product and store as:      ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
HOWEVER...SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL START TO
SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH WETTING RAINS FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX


GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES OVER INLAND LOCATIONS WILL
BRING ELEVATED FIRE DANGER TO SOME INTERIOR LOCATIONS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE MID TEENS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT THIS
AFTERNOON...AND WILL BE LOWEST OVER AREAS EXPOSED TO THE GUSTY
WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. THE PEAK WINDS EXPECTED WILL BE 15-25 MPH
WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY FOOTHILLS.

AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE EASTERN GREAT BASIN WILL
BEGIN TO EXPAND WESTWARD TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE
WEAKENING ONSHORE WINDS THROUGH THE WEEKEND ALONG WITH A SLOW
WARMING AND DRYING TREND ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES INLAND ARE
LIKELY TO RISE 3-6 DEGREES EACH DAY THROUGH SUNDAY. IN
ADDITION...A SHRINKING MARINE LAYER WILL RESULT IN LOWERING
HUMIDITY VALUES FOR THE COAST AND COASTAL VALLEYS.

BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON A SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
AFFECT THE FAR EASTERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL
PRODUCE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN SAN
GABRIEL MOUNTAINS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AS THE RIDGE
CONTINUES TO SHIFT WESTWARD OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE WILL STREAM OVER THE AREA WITH POSSIBLE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA MOUNTAINS AND
DESERT EACH DAY MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE BEST MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WHEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. A COOLING
TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

A DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE
DISTRICT THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARD TO WELL ABOVE
NORMAL BY SUNDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL TREND DOWNWARD AND NO
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA. AN INFLUX OF
TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED MONDAY WITH A RENEWED THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MOUNTAIN AND DESERT AREAS THOUGH FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK.


Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NEVADA
WILL CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE SEVERAL DEGREES BY SUNDAY.
THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE FOUR CORNERS REGION MONDAY
ALLOWING A SOUTHEAST FLOW OF MOISTURE TO BEGIN SPREADING BACK INTO
THE MOJAVE DESERT AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WITH A RETURN OF
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AND A DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES FOR THE
COMING WEEK.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE PREVALENT OVER GILA COUNTY TODAY AND
SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED WETTING RAINS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN LOCATIONS.
GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS WILL ALSO BE COMMON AND WORK WESTWARD TOWARDS
MARICOPA COUNTY...THOUGH RAINFALL WILL BE UNLIKELY AT LOWER
ELEVATIONS. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 10 PERCENT
ACROSS THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY TO NEAR 30 PERCENT IN THE SAN
CARLOS REGION. OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR TO GOOD.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-122346-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
446 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2014


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
HOWEVER...SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL START TO
SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH WETTING RAINS FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$

ECC034-122346-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
446 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2014


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
HOWEVER...SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL START TO
SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH WETTING RAINS FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$

ECC035-122346-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
446 AM PDT SAT JUL 12 2014


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK ACROSS THE FIRE DISTRICT THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
HOWEVER...SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL START TO
SPREAD BACK ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS
AND DESERTS. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH WETTING RAINS FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***

$$




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