Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 282202
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
502 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291045-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
502 PM CDT Tue Mar 28 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...East central and southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After 9 pm.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and west of a Bartlesville to McAlester line.
ONSET...After 9 pm.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Along and west of a Bartlesville to McAlester line.
ONSET...After 9 pm.

DISCUSSION...
Elevated showers and thunderstorms are ongoing this afternoon
across the Texas panhandle ahead of an upper level low pressure
system. These storms will continue to move east and potentially
impact parts of northeast Oklahoma late this evening. Additional
storms will develop across west Texas and southwest Oklahoma,
eventually moving into eastern Oklahoma well after midnight. Any
storms this evening and overnight will likely be elevated as they
move into eastern Oklahoma, thus the main severe weather threats
will be large hail and isolated severe wind gusts. Because storms
are expected to be elevated, the tornado threat is very low.

In addition, heavy rain is forecast for portions of eastern
Oklahoma with 1 to 2 inches of rain possible. This could cause
some locally heavy runoff or brief flash flooding.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Activation of the Regional Spotter Network Likely.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY through FRIDAY...No Hazards.
SATURDAY through SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
The severe threat on Wednesday will depend on how storms develop
this evening. There will be an axis of instability that develops
across eastern Oklahoma ahead of a cold front, and storms are
expected to develop by afternoon. Some of these storms could
become severe with threats of large hail and damaging winds with a
limited threat for tornadoes.

A chance for thunderstorms returns for the weekend as yet another
storm system moves toward the region.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$



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