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000
FLUS44 KTSA 152212
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
512 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
512 PM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024



...Severe Storm Potentials Continue For Tonight...

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
TORNADO.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After Midnight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After Midnight in Eastern Oklahoma and After 4 AM Northwest
Arkansas.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...After 8 PM.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms chances return this evening and increase from west
to east after midnight tonight as a Pacific cold front and dryline
move into the region. Severe storm potentials remain possible
overnight, with damaging winds being the primary threat and large
hail a secondary threat. There also remains a very low tornado
threat across parts northeast Oklahoma late tonight.

Ahead of the storm chances, southerly winds gusting up around 25
mph will continue over the region for the remainder of this
afternoon. This evening and overnight tonight, as the front
approaches, wind gusts of 25 to near 40 mph will become possible
across eastern Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. The strongest
gusts tonight are forecast across northeast Oklahoma and within
the higher terrain locations of southeast Oklahoma and far
northwest Arkansas.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
TUESDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Fire Weather Potential...High
          Wind Potential.
WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
SATURDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
   Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms will end from west to east Tuesday as the cold
front moves east of the area by afternoon. Fire weather concerns
will ramp up behind the front Tuesday afternoon as dry air surges
into the region with gusty southwest winds. The greatest concern
will be to the north and west of Tulsa where the spring green-up
has been less significant.

Thunderstorm chances will return Thursday and Thursday night as
another cold front moves across the area, and some of these
storms may be severe. The front will stall just south of the Red
River Friday and Saturday, with showers and a few thunderstorms
remaining possible to the north of the boundary.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.

$$