Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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069
FXHW01 KWNH 031230
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
830 AM EDT TUE MAY 03 2016

VALID 00Z WED MAY 04 2016 - 00Z WED MAY 11 2016

EXPECT MODERATE MEAN TRADES OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNDERNEATH HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLING TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHEAST OF THE STATE.
WINDWARD TERRAIN FOCUSED SHOWERS WILL BE ADDITIONALLY FUELED BY
ORGANIZED MOISTURE BANDING DOWN INTO THE ISLANDS. MODELS AND
ENSEMBLES THEN REASONABLY AGREE THAT COMPACT AND AMPLIFIED
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSAGE JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE STATE
FRI/SAT WILL FORCE ANOTHER MOISTURE POOLING AND SHOWER ENHANCING
FRONT INTO THE ISLANDS. ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT MAY
LINGER/STALL NEAR THE SOUTHERN ISLANDS WITH INFLUENCE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK, POSSIBLY THEN FOLLOWED BY A RETURNING TRADE FLOW
PATTERN AS POST-FRONTAL HIGH PRESSURE BRIDGES TO THE NORTH.

SCHICHTEL


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