Preliminary Forecasts
Issued by NWS

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FXUS02 KWNH 300504
PREEPD

PRELIMINARY EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
103 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

VALID 12Z SUN AUG 02 2015 - 12Z THU AUG 06 2015


USED THE 12Z/29 ECMWF AND ECENS MEAN AS A SYNOPTIC GUIDE FOR THE
FRONTS AND PRESSURES THIS FORECAST PACKAGE, AND A BLEND OF THE
12Z/29 ECENS AND NAEFS MEANS FOR THE TEMPERATURES AND POPS. THE
PATTERN IS A STABLE ONE, WITH FEATURES REINFORCED MORE THAN
DISPLACED. MOST OF THE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
DISSIPATING POLAR BOUNDARY IN THE SOUTHEAST, WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
AMOUNTS IN THE SOUPY, SUBTROPICAL AIR. BY LATE IN THE PERIOD, THE
REINFORCING POLAR FRONT IN THE MIDWEST WILL HAVE MORE MOISTURE
WITH WHICH WORK AS THE SOUTHEAST BOUNDARY FADES, WITH AN UPTICK IN
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THERE.


CISCO

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