Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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000
WUUS01 KWNS 191624
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1123 AM CDT TUE SEP 19 2017

VALID TIME 191630Z - 201200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49469635 48509541 47209455 46019435 44589471 43779551
       43369661 43219771 43239829 43469921 43809969 44430011
       45640031 47120030 48160017 49369996
0.05   49509758 48989696 47839596 45999534 45029540 44259586
       43719673 43609755 43939883 44419938 45909971 47469962
       49369910
0.10   46879896 47459848 47629793 47499735 46449651 45289637
       44679679 44399745 44459820 44619874 45219899 46109912
       46879896
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49169244 47179170 45659189 43769321 43019426 42679531
       42549625 42519772 42799907 43099983 43530032 44380072
       45850086 49500089
0.05   29430515 34570080 35070018 35329948 35189869 34839825
       34059803 33349831 32349929 30670091 29410210
0.15   49429565 48249416 47239377 45659387 44259502 43239675
       43199829 43469919 43689963 44580016 45600028 46630035
       49460023
0.30   46699970 47589955 48239928 48619873 48799794 48429677
       47719605 46629551 45529559 44279613 43809669 43649760
       43959882 44389935 45209957 45959971 46699970
SIGN   47949780 47599691 46689624 45679588 44309613 43639677
       43469749 43539861 43809932 44469974 45389996 46549995
       47399965 47829882 47949780
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   29420515 32810235 34790054 35100010 35309952 35219865
       34809820 34129799 33149832 31739945 30400061 28910188
0.05   48789057 46779079 45179156 43689314 42969428 42709525
       42539628 42519774 42899939 43159991 43610043 44270073
       45890080 47500067 49670039
0.15   49449417 47609300 46449275 45189291 44419339 43739443
       43399542 43139655 43089749 43219831 43459919 43799972
       44580012 45600018 47090008 47979995 49339961
0.30   47059891 47989816 48429726 48469613 48079532 47439492
       46199444 45419462 44289536 43789633 43629751 43869853
       44409895 45739910 47059891
SIGN   45219548 44289585 43889656 43759740 43969833 44409876
       45469890 46279870 47019833 47569756 47809665 47539578
       46779546 45219548
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    48719684 48469613 48049531 47189479 46239448 45309467
       44269541 43789633 43629751 43769818 43959882 44389935
       45209957 45959971 46929964 47589955 48209933 48589872
       48799794 48719684
SLGT   48969385 47609300 46449275 45189291 44409339 43749441
       43379544 43099677 43119770 43229840 43499927 43789972
       44470011 45260028 47050037 49410024
MRGL   29430517 32670246 34240111 34780053 35080014 35319956
       35199869 34839823 34079800 33179833 31879931 30600043
       28880194
MRGL   48669066 46779078 45119163 43689314 42969433 42679534
       42549625 42529685 42519758 42619836 42869926 43149989
       43610037 44190065 44710078 45230081 45850086 49510091
TSTM   48188965 45208886 43868905 42858898 42318857 42138771
       42568628 43828404 45058139 99999999 42508062 41098001
       39447969 38198018 36098075 35028143 34228248 33438306
       32398372 30768422 29488417 99999999 25507966 25678096
       26288185 27158198 27888161 28528011 99999999 34298916
       35548927 36169049 36259143 36239216 35689301 35059352
       34649368 34249355 33769302 33409230 33039099 33378987
       34298916 99999999 27029686 28069769 28769882 28839999
       28600088 99999999 31601239 32331056 32560918 32800640
       33010478 33840324 34750165 35970043 36909943 38219787
       39429749 40579744 41439822 42139906 42560027 42530134
       42420228 41900373 41400555 40920777 40981101 42741561
       43481788 43982101 43892325 43642531 99999999 49171360
       48031274 47381193 46480857 46070592 46060376 46390290
       46690271 47330272 48250309 49280362

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM HCO 25
N TVF 40 NNW BJI 25 SSE BJI 20 SW BRD 35 WSW STC 25 SW RWF 25 NE FSD
30 ESE MHE 10 W MHE 30 ENE 9V9 40 N 9V9 50 ESE MBG 45 NE MBG 45 W
JMS 45 SW DVL 20 WNW DVL 35 NNE DVL 45 W HCO HCO.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW
INL 15 NNW HIB 40 SW DLH 25 NE MSP 30 ENE MKT FRM 20 NW SPW 35 ENE
YKN 20 NW YKN 45 SSW MHE 20 S 9V9 20 W 9V9 10 NE PIR 20 SSE MBG 25
NE BIS 90 NNE MOT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SW
MRF 45 E HOB 35 E PVW 30 NNW CDS 45 N CDS 20 W CSM 30 ESE CSM 15 NE
FSI 30 ENE SPS 30 NNW MWL 20 WNW BWD 40 W JCT 70 WSW DRT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NNW
GNA 15 NNE ASX 20 NNW EAU 35 WSW RST 30 NNW FOD 10 NW SLB 10 NE SUX
25 WNW SUX 30 SSW YKN 20 ENE ONL 40 NW ONL 40 ENE VTN 55 N VTN 25 SW
PIR 35 NW PIR 25 SW MBG 30 NW MBG 85 N MOT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE GNA 40 SE RHI
25 WSW OSH 15 N JVL 30 ENE RFD 45 S RAC 30 NNE BEH 20 N MBS 105 E
APN ...CONT... 35 NW ERI 20 SSW FKL 20 SE MGW 30 NNE SSU 45 NE HKY
30 WSW CLT 25 SE AND 40 SSE AHN 20 S MCN 25 NNE TLH 55 ESE AAF
...CONT... 45 ESE MIA 45 WSW MIA 10 NNW APF 40 ESE SRQ 25 NW AGR 45
NE MLB ...CONT... 20 ESE UOX 20 WSW MKL 25 NNE JBR 30 WNW ARG 15 E
FLP 30 N RUE 30 WSW RUE 35 WNW HOT 30 WSW HOT 40 NNW ELD 30 ENE ELD
30 S GLH 15 SE GWO 20 ESE UOX ...CONT... 65 SE CRP 20 S NIR 30 NE
COT 55 WNW COT 55 S DRT ...CONT... 90 WSW TUS 30 ENE TUS 35 SE SAD
20 W ALM 25 SW ROW 35 S CVS 30 S AMA 45 WSW GAG 45 WNW AVK 10 N HUT
10 SE CNK 40 WSW LNK 30 N GRI 25 N BUB 15 W ANW 35 NNW MHN 35 NE AIA
BFF 10 NE LAR 30 NNW CAG 20 S EVW 60 WNW TWF 55 E BNO 20 SSE RDM 15
S EUG 55 WNW OTH ...CONT... 65 NNE GPI 45 SSW CTB 25 WSW GTF 45 N
BIL 25 S MLS 30 SE BHK 30 S DIK 10 SSE DIK 35 N DIK 25 ENE ISN 75 N
ISN.




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