River Forecast
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000
FGUS51 KTIR 121328
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
8:28am EST Friday, February 12, 2016

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.6 ft
: Major River Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   6.1
:     Feb 11   /   6.1 /   6.4 /   5.7 /   5.5
:     Feb 12   /   5.8 /   5.4 /   5.2
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.1 ft at 800am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER PARP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   5.0
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.7
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   4.6 /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.2
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   4.1 /   4.0 /   4.0 /   4.0
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.00
:     Feb 10   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.05 /  0.03 /  0.03
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.4
:     Feb 10   /  -1.2 /  -3.5 /  -5.5 /  -6.9
:     Feb 11   /  -7.4 /  -9.4 / -12.1 / -11.8
:     Feb 12   / -10.3 / -14.2 / -17.7 / -13.4
:     Feb 13   /  -7.7 / -11.9 / -15.4 / -15.8
:     Feb 14   / -14.4 / -17.4 / -19.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     23.9 ft
: Major River Stage      22.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   4.3
:     Feb 11   /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.0
:     Feb 12   /   4.0 /   3.7 /   3.6
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.5 ft at 815am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER SNCP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   4.0
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   4.0 /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.9
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.8
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   3.8 /   3.7 /   3.7
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.03
:     Feb 10   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.04 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.04 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 14   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.2
:     Feb 10   /  -0.9 /  -3.2 /  -5.2 /  -6.4
:     Feb 11   /  -7.4 /  -9.7 / -11.9 / -11.8
:     Feb 12   / -10.4 / -14.0 / -17.8 / -13.5
:     Feb 13   /  -8.2 / -12.1 / -15.7 / -16.2
:     Feb 14   / -14.8 / -17.5 / -20.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     30.7 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Gage reading may be affected by ice.
: Forecast stage represents estimate of unobstructed flow.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /  12.8
:     Feb 11   /  12.6 /  12.5 /  12.4 /  12.3
:     Feb 12   /  12.2 /  12.2 /  11.8
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 11.6 ft at 800am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER KTTP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /  12.0
.E2 : Feb 13 : /  11.9 /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.8
.E3 : Feb 14 : /  11.6 /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5
.E4 : Feb 15 : /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.3 /  11.3
.E5 : Feb 16 : /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.2 /  11.2
.E6 : Feb 17 : /  11.2 /  11.2 /  11.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.04
:     Feb 10   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.03 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.01 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /   0.3
:     Feb 10   /  -1.2 /  -3.5 /  -4.9 /  -6.4
:     Feb 11   /  -7.0 /  -8.7 / -10.9 / -10.9
:     Feb 12   /  -9.6 / -12.9 / -18.5 / -13.3
:     Feb 13   /  -7.4 / -11.1 / -14.4 / -14.8
:     Feb 14   / -13.5 / -16.4 / -19.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.4 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.8 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /   3.2
:     Feb 11   /   3.2 /   3.1 /   3.1 /   3.0
:     Feb 12   /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 3.0 ft at 745am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER SWDP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /   2.9
.E2 : Feb 13 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E3 : Feb 14 : /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8 /   2.8
.E4 : Feb 15 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E5 : Feb 16 : /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7 /   2.7
.E6 : Feb 17 : /   2.6 /   2.6 /   2.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.05
:     Feb 10   /  0.03 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -1.9
:     Feb 10   /  -4.6 /  -6.2 /  -6.9 /  -7.9
:     Feb 11   /  -9.1 / -10.7 / -12.4 / -12.4
:     Feb 12   / -10.7 / -13.2 / -15.9 / -12.4
:     Feb 13   /  -8.0 / -10.4 / -14.9 / -16.1
:     Feb 14   / -15.2 / -17.0 / -19.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.4 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /  12.0
:     Feb 11   /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5
:     Feb 12   /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.0
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 10.8 ft at 800am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER CLNP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /  10.9
.E2 : Feb 13 : /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8
.E3 : Feb 14 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E4 : Feb 15 : /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.4 /  10.4
.E5 : Feb 16 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
.E6 : Feb 17 : /  10.3 /  10.3 /  10.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.03
:     Feb 10   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 11   /  0.01 /  0.06 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /   0.1
:     Feb 10   /  -1.4 /  -3.5 /  -4.9 /  -6.5
:     Feb 11   /  -7.1 /  -8.6 / -10.8 / -10.8
:     Feb 12   /  -9.5 / -12.9 / -18.3 / -13.2
:     Feb 13   /  -7.2 / -11.0 / -14.3 / -14.7
:     Feb 14   / -13.2 / -16.2 / -18.6
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /  13.4
:     Feb 11   /  13.1 /  13.0 /  12.9 /  12.8
:     Feb 12   /  12.7 /  12.6 /  12.5
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.5 ft at 815am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER NATP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /  12.4
.E2 : Feb 13 : /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E3 : Feb 14 : /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.9 /  11.8
.E4 : Feb 15 : /  11.8 /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.6
.E5 : Feb 16 : /  11.6 /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5
.E6 : Feb 17 : /  11.5 /  11.5 /  11.4
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.06
:     Feb 10   /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 11   /  0.02 /  0.03 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.01
:     Feb 14   /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.0
:     Feb 10   /  -2.1 /  -3.9 /  -5.0 /  -6.7
:     Feb 11   /  -7.1 /  -8.6 / -10.5 / -10.3
:     Feb 12   /  -8.8 / -12.1 / -16.7 / -12.6
:     Feb 13   /  -6.7 / -10.8 / -14.3 / -14.6
:     Feb 14   / -12.9 / -15.4 / -17.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     31.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      17.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     15.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /  12.5
:     Feb 11   /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.1 /  12.1
:     Feb 12   /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.8
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 11.8 ft at 815am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER ACMP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /  11.7
.E2 : Feb 13 : /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.3 /  11.3
.E3 : Feb 14 : /  11.3 /  11.2 /  11.1 /  11.1
.E4 : Feb 15 : /  11.1 /  11.0 /  10.9 /  10.9
.E5 : Feb 16 : /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.8 /  10.8
.E6 : Feb 17 : /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.8
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.08
:     Feb 10   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.02
:     Feb 11   /  0.03 /  0.04 /  0.01 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 14   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.1
:     Feb 10   /  -2.2 /  -3.9 /  -4.9 /  -6.7
:     Feb 11   /  -7.0 /  -8.5 / -10.3 / -10.1
:     Feb 12   /  -8.5 / -11.6 / -16.0 / -12.1
:     Feb 13   /  -6.6 / -10.9 / -14.4 / -14.6
:     Feb 14   / -12.7 / -15.0 / -17.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.9 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.3 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 10                           /  12.6E
:     Feb 11   /  12.5 /  12.4 /  12.4 /  12.1
:     Feb 12   /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.0
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.0 ft at 730am EST on Fri, Feb 12
:
.ER SHRP1 20160212 Z DC201602121328/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 12 :                         /  11.9
.E2 : Feb 13 : /  11.9 /  11.8 /  11.7 /  11.5
.E3 : Feb 14 : /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5 /  11.4
.E4 : Feb 15 : /  11.4 /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.3
.E5 : Feb 16 : /  11.3 /  11.3 /  11.3 /  11.2
.E6 : Feb 17 : /  11.2 /  11.2 /  11.2
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  0.08
:     Feb 10   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     Feb 11   /  0.05 /  0.04 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 12   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 12                           /  0.00
:     Feb 13   /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.02 /  0.00
:     Feb 14   /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 09                           /  -0.3
:     Feb 10   /  -2.4 /  -3.9 /  -4.9 /  -6.9
:     Feb 11   /  -6.9 /  -8.6 / -10.4 / -10.1
:     Feb 12   /  -8.5 / -11.4 / -15.0 / -11.8
:     Feb 13   /  -6.5 / -10.9 / -14.6 / -14.8
:     Feb 14   / -12.7 / -14.6 / -16.6
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Mark J Fenbers
:...END of MESSAGE...




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