River Forecast
Issued by NWS

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FGUS51 KRHA 261447
RVFPA2
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER, STATE COLLEGE, PA
 947 AM EST MON JAN 26 2015
:
:    River Forecast for Lower Delaware Basin
:
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Lehighton - Lehigh River
:CS=9.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=14.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.8 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E LHTP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8
.E2 :0127:/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8
.E3 :0128:/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8/      2.8
.E4 :0129:/      2.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Walnutport - Lehigh River
:CS=7.5, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.3 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E WNTP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4
.E2 :0127:/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4
.E3 :0128:/      2.4/      2.3/      2.3/      2.3
.E4 :0129:/      2.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Allentown - Jordan Creek
:CS=6.0, FS=8.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=11.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0126
.E ALNP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.8/      1.8/      1.8
.E2 :0127:/      1.8/      1.8/      1.8/      1.8
.E3 :0128:/      1.8/      1.8/      1.8/      1.8
.E4 :0129:/      1.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Bethlehem - Lehigh River
:CS=12.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=20.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.7 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E BETP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.6/      1.7/      1.6
.E2 :0127:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E3 :0128:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E4 :0129:/      1.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Berne - Schuylkill River
:CS=10.0, FS=12.0, Moderate FS=14.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 5.1 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E BREP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1
.E2 :0127:/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1
.E3 :0128:/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1/      5.1
.E4 :0129:/      5.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Reading - Schuylkill River
:CS=14.5, FS=15.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.0 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E RDRP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      3.0/      3.0/      3.0
.E2 :0127:/      3.0/      3.0/      3.0/      3.0
.E3 :0128:/      3.0/      2.9/      2.9/      2.9
.E4 :0129:/      2.9
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Pottstown - Schuylkill River
:CS=11.0, FS=12.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.1 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E PTNP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      2.1/      2.1/      2.1
.E2 :0127:/      2.1/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0
.E3 :0128:/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0/      2.0
.E4 :0129:/      2.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Graterford - Perkiomen Creek
:CS=9.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E GRAP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E2 :0127:/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7/      1.7
.E3 :0128:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E4 :0129:/      1.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Norristown - Schuylkill River
: Crest normally occurs 2 hours before Philadelphia
:CS=12.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=17.0, Major FS=19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 8.4 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0126
.E NRSP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      8.3/      8.3/      8.2
.E2 :0127:/      8.2/      8.2/      8.2/      8.2
.E3 :0128:/      8.2/      8.2/      8.1/      8.1
.E4 :0129:/      8.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Philadelphia - Schuylkill River
:CS=10.0, FS=11.0, Moderate FS=13.0, Major FS=15.5
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.3 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E PADP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      6.2/      6.2/      6.2
.E2 :0127:/      6.2/      6.2/      6.2/      6.2
.E3 :0128:/      6.2/      6.2/      6.1/      6.1
.E4 :0129:/      6.1
.E PADP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH19/QRIFF/DID1
:Fcst at 7AM on 0127      0128      0129
.E1       /      1.8/      1.6/      1.5
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Chadds Ford - Brandywine Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=11.0, Major FS=13.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.8 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E CDFP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      2.7/      2.6/      2.5
.E2 :0127:/      2.5/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4
.E3 :0128:/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4/      2.4
.E4 :0129:/      2.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Wilmington DE - Brandywine Creek
: Crest normally occurs 3 hours after Chadds Ford
:CS=14.5, FS=16.5, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=19.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 12.4 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E WMND1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/     12.3/     12.2/     12.2
.E2 :0127:/     12.2/     12.1/     12.1/     12.1
.E3 :0128:/     12.1/     12.1/     12.1/     12.0
.E4 :0129:/     12.0
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Langhorne - Neshaminy Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=9.0, Moderate FS=10.0, Major FS=12.0
:
:LATEST ESTIMATED STAGE 1.8 FT AT 0700 EST ON 0126
.E LNGP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.7/      1.8/      1.7
.E2 :0127:/      1.6/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E3 :0128:/      1.5/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4
.E4 :0129:/      1.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Shoemakers - Bush Kill
:CS=5.0, FS=6.0, Moderate FS=7.0, Major FS=8.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.6 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0126
.E SHOP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E2 :0127:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E3 :0128:/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6/      1.6
.E4 :0129:/      1.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Tocks Island - Delaware River
:CS=20.0, FS=21.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 6.0 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E TKSN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      6.0/      6.1/      5.9
.E2 :0127:/      6.0/      5.8/      6.1/      5.8
.E3 :0128:/      6.0/      5.8/      6.0/      5.8
.E4 :0129:/      6.0
:Remarks ICE EFFECTS
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Minisink Hills - Brodhead Creek
:CS=8.0, FS=10.0, Moderate FS=12.0, Major FS=15.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 2.4 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E MNSP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      2.3/      2.3/      2.2
.E2 :0127:/      2.2/      2.2/      2.2/      2.2
.E3 :0128:/      2.2/      2.2/      2.2/      2.2
.E4 :0129:/      2.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Belvidere - Delaware River
:CS=18.5, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=24.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 4.0 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E BVDN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      4.0/      4.0/      3.9
.E2 :0127:/      3.9/      3.9/      3.9/      3.9
.E3 :0128:/      3.9/      3.9/      3.8/      3.8
.E4 :0129:/      3.8
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Easton - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 2 hrs before Riegelsville
:CS=20.0, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=26.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.7 FT AT 0930 EST ON 0126
.E ESTN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.6/      1.6/      1.5
.E2 :0127:/      1.4/      1.4/      1.3/      1.3
.E3 :0128:/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3/      1.3
.E4 :0129:/      1.3
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Riegelsville - Delaware River
:CS=15.0, FS=22.0, Moderate FS=26.0, Major FS=30.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 3.7 FT AT 0830 EST ON 0126
.E RGLN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      3.6/      3.6/      3.5
.E2 :0127:/      3.5/      3.4/      3.4/      3.4
.E3 :0128:/      3.4/      3.4/      3.4/      3.4
.E4 :0129:/      3.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Frenchtown - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 1 to 2 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=14.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=18.0, Major FS=20.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 1.9 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E FREN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      1.8/      1.7/      1.7
.E2 :0127:/      1.6/      1.5/      1.5/      1.5
.E3 :0128:/      1.5/      1.4/      1.4/      1.4
.E4 :0129:/      1.4
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Stockton - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 4 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=17.0, FS=18.0, Moderate FS=20.0, Major FS=24.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 0.9 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E STKN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      0.9/      0.9/      0.8
.E2 :0127:/      0.8/      0.7/      0.7/      0.7
.E3 :0128:/      0.7/      0.7/      0.7/      0.7
.E4 :0129:/      0.6
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:New Hope - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 5 hours after Riegelsville
:CS=12.0, FS=13.0, Moderate FS=15.0, Major FS=16.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 0.2 FT AT 0845 EST ON 0126
.E NHPP1 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      0.2/      0.1/      0.0
.E2 :0127:/     -0.0/     -0.1/     -0.1/     -0.2
.E3 :0128:/     -0.2/     -0.2/     -0.2/     -0.2
.E4 :0129:/     -0.2
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Washington Crossing - Delaware River
: Crest normally occurs 1 hour before Trenton
:CS=12.0, FS=16.0, Moderate FS=19.0, Major FS=22.0
:
:LATEST STAGE -0.8 FT AT 0900 EST ON 0126
.E WASN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/     -0.8/     -0.9/     -1.0
.E2 :0127:/     -1.0/     -1.0/     -1.0/     -1.0
.E3 :0128:/     -1.1/     -1.1/     -1.1/     -1.1
.E4 :0129:/     -1.1
:--------------------------------------------------------------------
:Trenton - Delaware River
:CS=17.0, FS=20.0, Moderate FS=23.0, Major FS=25.0
:
:LATEST STAGE 8.9 FT AT 0915 EST ON 0126
.E TREN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:QPF FCST        7AM       1PM       7PM       1AM
.E1 :0126: :       :/      9.0/      8.9/      8.9
.E2 :0127:/      8.8/      8.8/      8.7/      8.7
.E3 :0128:/      8.6/      8.6/      8.6/      8.6
.E4 :0129:/      8.6
.E TREN4 0126 E DC1501260947/DH19/QRIFF/DID1
:Fcst at 7AM on 0127      0128      0129
.E1       /      6.1/      5.3/      4.9
:********************************************************************
COMMENT

THE TERM "ICE EFFECTS" MEANS THAT RIVER ICE ACCUMULATION IN THE
VICINITY OF THE RIVER GAGE IS ALTERING THE CHANNEL CROSS-SECTION (IN
ADDITION TO INCREASING FRICTION) WHICH PRODUCES HIGHER STAGES THAN
WOULD BE EXPECTED WITHOUT THE RIVER ICE.  THE RELATIONSHIP (RATING)
BETWEEN RIVER FLOW AND GAGE HEIGHT IS NO LONGER VALID.  A STRETCH OF
RIVER DOES NOT HAVE TO BE ICE COVERED TO EXHIBIT ICE EFFECTS.  ICE CAN
FORM ALONG THE SURFACE IN SLOW MOVING SECTIONS, ALONG THE BANKS AND
SIDES OF THE CHANNEL, AND ALSO ON THE CHANNEL BOTTOM (ANCHOR ICE).
ABRUPT FLUCTUATIONS OF SEVERAL FEET ARE QUITE COMMON AND SHOULD BE
EXPECTED DURING EXTENDED COLD SPELLS.


$$
MARFC
:...END of MESSAGE...
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