Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
Issued by NWS

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ACPN50 PHFO 062346
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
HILO HAWAII CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE ORGANIZED.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL LIKELY FORM DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS MOVING TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT
15 TO 20 MPH.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...HIGH...70 PERCENT.

2. A WEAK SURFACE LOW IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER
ABOUT 650 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HILO HAWAII. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS
DISORGANIZED AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IS NOT LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 48
HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS NEARLY STATIONARY.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...10 PERCENT.

3. POORLY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PERSISTED THROUGH THE DAY
ALONG THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF A BROAD LOW PRESSURE AREA ABOUT 1000
MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HONOLULU HAWAII. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE AS IT REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS.

* FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH 48 HOURS...LOW...20 PERCENT.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

EATON/WROE





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