Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 151938
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
238 PM CDT Sun Oct 15 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...
Upper air analysis this morning showed a trough over the middle of
the country with south-southwesterly flow over Texas. At the surface,
a cold front stretched across the southern part of our CWA. Behind
the front winds were from the north-northeast bringing cooler, drier
air. The cold front will have moved to the coast by the start of this
period. Low level northerly flow will continue tonight and Monday.
Low temperatures Monday will be nearly 20 degrees cooler than Sunday.
They will drop another five degrees Tuesday morning with lows in the
upper 40s along I-35 and lower 40s in parts of the Hill Country.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
An upper level ridge will move across the southern part of the
country into the middle of the week. The upper flow will be
northwesterly to westerly through Thursday. The low level flow will
turn to easterly. This combination will lead to a dry forecast with
no significant moisture moving into the region. Temperatures will
warm slowly through the period. Thursday night Gulf moisture will
return to South Texas and an upper level shortwave trough will move
through the pattern. This combination may be sufficient to produce
showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday. Sunday another cold
front will drop through north and west Texas and bring a chance for
showers and thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              53  76  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  52  75  46  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     53  74  47  77  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            48  73  45  76  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           55  75  48  78  53 /   0   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        50  73  46  77  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             53  76  46  79  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        53  75  47  78  48 /   0   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   55  76  47  79  49 /   0   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       55  75  49  78  51 /   0   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           57  76  50  79  52 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/Aviation...04
Synoptic/Grids...05
Public Service/Data Collection...YB



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