314
FXUS62 KFFC 291044
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
644 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024



...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 416 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Expecting another dry day today with highs in the low 80s for much
of the area before the sfc high pressure retreats to the east and a
mid level trough moves into the southeast overnight into Tuesday. The
associated energy with this shortwave brings showers into north GA
as early as 2-4am Tuesday before pushing further into north and
central GA. Currently with the timing, the energy remains cut off
from much of the instability so not expecting anything other than
isolated thunderstorms overnight. As the showers move into central
GA and line up with the better instability, this may be where we see
more thunderstorms activity. Not expecting anything severe, but
could see isolated to scattered strong thunderstorms if the moisture
sticks together through the afternoon. SPC currently has us under a
general thunder risk which goes along with current thinking.
Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 416 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

At a glance:

- The second half of this week will be hot.

- Chance for thunderstorms on Saturday afternoon across northern
Georgia.

Well, it`s summer. The ridge will settle in over the Atlantic
Georgia will begin to bake until likely the end of the season.
Temperatures are expected to climb into the mid to upper 80s on
Wednesday afternoon and will stay there through the rest of the long
term. Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 60s so the AC will
probably need to work overtime.

A short wave will bring the chance of thunderstorms north of I-20 on
Friday night and into Saturday. This may help moderate temps in
northern Georgia to the mid 50s. While that wave is expected to
clear the area by Sunday, winds will shift to the SSW by the end of
the weekend providing the CWA with enough moisture to kick off pulse
convective season. As a result, most of the CWA has at least a
slight chance for PoPs in the early afternoon beginning Sunday.

Vaughn

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 640 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024

Current high level cirrus is expected to continue before daytime
heating results in a SCT cu field early this afternoon before a
BKN cirrus deck takes over overnight. Showers filtering in from
the northwest are forecast to affect the metro TAF sites as early
as 12z with VCSH and then scattered -SHRA from ~14-18z. Also
expecting SE/SSE winds to switch over to SSW late tomorrow
morning.

//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...

Medium to high on all elements.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          60  81  58  86 /   0  70  20  10
Atlanta         63  79  61  85 /  20  70  10   0
Blairsville     56  71  53  81 /  40  90  20  10
Cartersville    61  79  57  85 /  60  80  10   0
Columbus        64  83  63  88 /  10  60  10  10
Gainesville     61  77  58  85 /  20  80  10  10
Macon           61  84  61  87 /   0  60  10  10
Rome            62  79  57  86 /  70  80  10   0
Peachtree City  62  81  59  86 /  20  70  10  10
Vidalia         62  86  64  88 /   0  40  30  20

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Vaughn
AVIATION...Hernandez