269
FNUS73 KABR 011305
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Hornstein WMA Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
805 AM CDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Westerly winds can be expected at the burn site
today, with increasing clouds later in the day. Humidity is
forecast to fall into the 30s by late afternoon. Any rain showers
are forecast to hold off until the evening/overnight hours.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2500-5200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 22 mph decreasing to 7 to 10 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (71400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  22  26  32  44  54  65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  56  58  61  62  63  63  64
RH..............69  60  51  42  41  39  38  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   9   13  13  10  9   8   6
20 FT wind gust.13  15  20  17  16  14  12  9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.3 4.0 4.8 5.2 5.2 4.8 4.5
Smoke Dispersal.FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  FR  FR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am.
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 28 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......400-3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph shifting to the southeast 8
                    to 13 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........72  76  87  88  90  93  93  93  93  93  93  93
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  40  40  50
Temp............64  63  59  56  54  53  52  50  50  49  49  48
RH..............38  43  51  57  61  66  69  71  74  77  80  83
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   7   8   9   8   9   8   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.8   10  12  9   12  14  14  14  14  15  17  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
CWR.................29 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......800-1900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........93  93  95  93  92  94  92  89  88  87  86  85
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  70
Temp............48  47  49  50  52  50  51  53  51  51  53  52
RH..............86  86  83  83  74  83  80  74  80  77  72  73
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..12  13  13  12  14  13  13  13  13  13  12  10
20 FT wind gust.14  20  18  18  18  18  20  20  20  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...TMT
Requested by...Louise Spiczka
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412897.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL louise.spiczka@state.mn.us