Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 
000
FNUS71 KAKQ 230737
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Raccoon Creek Pinelands - 180...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
337 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds over the area this morning, then slides off
the coast by this evening. Becoming mainl clear with morning
inversion breaking between 9-10 am this morning. Min RH values
drop to the upper 20s to around 30% this afternoon. Winds will be
light to start out of the S to SW, but will increase this
afternoon averaging 8-10 mph, with gusts to 18 to 20 mph.

A cold front swings through the region on Wednesday, bringing
some scattered rain showers or sprinkles. High pressure/dry
conditions return for Thursday and Friday, with warmer conditions
ahead for the upcoming weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 12 mph increasing to around 14
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (72100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 93 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   14  8   3   1   1   1   1   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  57  61  65  67  69  70  70  71
RH..............59  47  42  35  33  31  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.5   5   6   8   11  11  12  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.8 4.5 5.3 5.7 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   7   8   9   12  14  14
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............8   17  32  43  48  59  75  88  93
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5   12  22  30  38  46  58  69  72
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42700 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................59 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in
                    the night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6   12  12  14  15  21  25  34  39  36  40  41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  65  62  60  59  57  56  55  54  52  51  51
RH..............33  40  46  49  53  57  59  64  66  71  74  74
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  11  8   11  11  12  12  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  9   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  12  10  10
LVORI...........1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............59  4   3   3   4   6   7   7   8   7   7   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43  13  3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Ventrate Cat....FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (68700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 early in the morning increasing to 88 in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........52     69     71     56     49     37
Weather cov.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     30     20     20
Temp............51     54     59     65     69     72
RH..............77     69     67     58     49     44
20 ft wind......SW 8   SW 7   W 8    W 8    W 9    W 9
20 ft wind gust.14     12     14     14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1000   2100   3400   4900   6000
Transport wind..SW 12  SW 15  W 14   W 13   SW 13  W 13
LVORI...........4      3      3      1      1      1
ADI.............11     17     34     42     74     88
Haines index....4      3      2      3      4      4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..7      13     25     37     56     69
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD

$$
Forecaster...MONTEFUSCO
Requested by...Bobby Clontz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411885.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL bclontz@tnc.org
USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.