Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 271924
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

...Light snow or drizzle through Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...
Mildly breezy southwest to west winds will remain into Thursday.
Min humidity will decrease into the 30 to 40 percent range across
southeast portions of the area. Light isolated to scattered snow showers
tonight into Thursday across the tip of the mitt and eastern upper,
generally no accumulation expected. Dry on Friday with a chance for
light rain and snow mix Saturday.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-280900-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (589).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow showers.
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (973).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28...except around 30 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (99).
Mixing Height.......1100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....41-46...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (635).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280900-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....25-30.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent...except 61-66 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (217).
Mixing Height.......1400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44...except 31-36 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1016).
Mixing Height.......5500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (76).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....45-50...except 33-38 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees cooler near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (759).
Mixing Height.......4700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280900-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered
                    flurries until 2400, then isolated snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (581).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (901).
Mixing Height.......4600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....22-27...except 34-39 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 56-61 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (120).
Mixing Height.......1000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....41-46...except 32-37 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer...except 1 degree warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (456).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-280900-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    flurries until 2400, then scattered snow
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....22-27.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier...except 17 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (486).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (851).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (90).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....43-48...except around 40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........36-41 percent...except 45-50 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (487).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280900-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
319 PM EDT Wed Mar 27 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    flurries.
Min Temperature.....23-28.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........71-76 percent.
   24 HR Trend......25 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (389).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....39-44.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (948).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....21-26.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (85).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (678).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS, LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

JHV


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