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FXUS61 KBGM 090736
AFDBGM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
336 AM EDT Thu May 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Cooler weather is expected today following the passage of a cold
front. A batch of rain is expected later today into Friday.
Additional on-and-off showers are anticipated for this weekend
right into next week, along with below normal temperatures.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
335 AM Update:

Following the passage of a cold front, a northerly flow will
bring considerably cooler weather today along with mostly cloudy
skies, with perhaps a few breaks of sun. After 70s and 80s for
high temperatures yesterday, today`s highs will be a few degrees
below normal for this time of the year with upper 50s to mid
60s present. Model guidance continues the slower onset of rain
showers later today with an approaching trough, with any rain
showers likely holding off at least until the late afternoon and
most likely until this evening.

The aforementioned trough and surface low south of the region
will move through the area tonight through Friday. As a result,
coverage of rain showers will be increasing as this evening
progresses, becoming widespread/steadier by around midnight and
through Friday. With the cool airmass in place combined with the
rain-cooled air, high temperatures on Friday will be quite
chilly for this time of the year; mainly in the upper 40s to mid
50s.

Rainfall rates should remain on the lighter side, perhaps
becoming moderate at times. Rainfall totals tonight through
Friday will range from around an inch across parts of the Twin
Tiers to between 0.50" and 0.75" for most of the rest of the
area. Lowest amounts should be north of the NY Thruway corridor,
where amounts should be less than 0.50". Since this will occur
over a longer period of time, rather than all at once, combined
with green-up underway or complete across most of the area,
flooding is not a concern with this system.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
240 PM Update:

Friday will be the coldest day of the week as a shortwave trough
moves into the region, towing in a cold air mass with it.
General rain showers can be expected for Friday, with high
temperatures in the low-50s. Going into the weekend, the
shortwave trough continues moving east into the region, with
rain showers expected and chances of afternoon thunderstorms
possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
240 PM Update:

After the aforementioned shortwave trough pushes east and out
of the region Sunday night, we`ll see a slight warming trend
heading into the first half of the week, with temperatures
potentially in the low to mid 70s by Wednesday. Conditions will
be showery through the week, with chances for thunderstorms
during the late afternoon into evening hours.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Post-frontal ceiling restrictions are expected this morning;
mainly MVFR to Fuel Alternate. Ceilings will return to VFR by
mid-morning, and likely remain that way through the remainder of
the TAF period (at least through 06Z Friday). Rain showers move
in from south to north this evening, but conditions are
currently expected to remain VFR.

Outlook...

Friday...Rain and restrictions likely Friday.

Friday night through Monday...Periods of showers with
intermittent restrictions as multiple disturbances pass through
the region.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BJG
NEAR TERM...BJG
SHORT TERM...KL
LONG TERM...KL
AVIATION...BJG