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000
FXUS64 KBMX 221046
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
546 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT MON APR 22 2024

Dry and sunny today as high pressure slides into the area. We
will see highs in the upper 60s to low 70s. We can expect a chilly
night overnight as high pressure becomes centered over the
region. Clear skies and very light winds will promote strong
radiational cooling with lows mainly in the lower to middle 40s,
though the coldest spots should see upper 30s. Another sunny and
dry day on Tuesday, with high pressure in control. Highs will be a
little warmer with readings in the 70s areawide.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT MON APR 22 2024

A weak front will move into the region Wednesday as a 500 mb
shortwave moves from the Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic coast.
Other than an increase in clouds, this front should hardly be
noticeable with only a minor temperature gradient from north to
south across our area. To our west, a weak shortwave in Oklahoma
cresting a ridge may kick off convection Wednesday night near a
warm front and moisture gradient. Weak impulses within west-
northwest flow may reach northwestern Alabama on Thursday along
this same moisture/temperature gradient. This could result in a
few showers across our northwestern quadrant.

After Thursday, a 500 mb ridge is expected to take hold over the
Southeast CONUS and Gulf of Mexico. This should deflect any
shortwaves to our north and west, and subsidence should keep
conditions dry through Sunday.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CDT MON APR 22 2024

VFR conditions through the period. Light northerly winds during
the day of 5 to 8 kts, then calming at night.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drier air is in place through most of the week. 20 ft northerly
winds around 6 to 10 mph today, with minimum RH values in the 25
to 35 percent range. 20 ft winds become southerly on Tuesday, at 6
to 10 mph, with minimum RH values in the 28 to 35 percent range.
Rain free conditions continue through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     68  36  75  47 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    68  40  75  50 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  68  43  75  52 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  69  41  76  52 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      68  42  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      68  45  75  52 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  69  42  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        70  43  76  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...16