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000
FXUS64 KBMX 240835
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
335 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 112 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

A weak front will slide through the northern two-thirds of the
area by the afternoon, before stalling near the I-85 corridor.
There is just a slight chance at a shower/storm with the front.
Most locations will remain dry though. Any activity that develops
should dissipate by sunset. Once the front stalls it will lift
back to the north on Thursday. A second weak disturbance will
slide into the area late afternoon and provide another chance at
some showers/storms. However chances remain low through the
period. Highs will be in the 70s to low 80s today, with 70 to mid
80s on Thursday.

16

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 335 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

An upper-level trough moving into the Southern Plains will induce
southerly low-level flow as far east as Alabama on Thursday
evening. A warm front extending from Northeast Oklahoma to West
Alabama will accelerate northward with the onset of southerly
flow. Beneath west- northwest 500 mb flow of 30-35 kts, increasing
moisture and warm advection may trigger isolated or scattered
showers and thunderstorms Thursday evening mainly north of I-20.
Any such activity will shift to the northeast and out of our
forecast area during the overnight hours.

Two shortwave ejections will occur across the Plains and Midwest
in the Friday through Sunday period while a ridge remains in
control over the Southeast CONUS. Eventually the second trough in
the Plains should progress eastward on Monday and Tuesday leading
to increasing rain chances mainly north of I-59.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 112 AM CDT WED APR 24 2024

VFR at most sites. May see some brief MVFR/IFR fog at TOI so added
in a tempo here. A weak cold front moves through today with
limited moisture. There could be a shower or two across the north.
Chances have decreased a little with the latest runs, but still
included VCSH at the northern 5 sites (EET, TCL, BHM, ANB, ASN)
for the afternoon.

16

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

A weak front with very little rain in the form of a few
showers/storms moves through this afternoon. 20 ft winds will
become westerly at 6 to 8 mph, with minimum RH values above 35
percent. Another chance of showers/storms exists Thursday
afternoon, with only modest increase in coverage compared to
Wednesday. 20 ft winds on Thursday will become easterly at
6 to 8 mph, with minimum RH values 30 to 35 in the northeast, and
above 35 percent, elsewhere.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     76  48  79  57 /  20  10  10  30
Anniston    76  50  80  59 /  20  10  10  30
Birmingham  76  53  80  62 /  20  10  20  20
Tuscaloosa  78  56  80  61 /  20  10  20  10
Calera      76  54  79  61 /  20  10  20  10
Auburn      77  57  80  62 /  20  10  20   0
Montgomery  80  57  84  60 /  20  10  20   0
Troy        81  56  83  60 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....87/Grantham
AVIATION...16