532
FNUS51 KBUF 282334
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
733 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A weak frontal boundary will sag southwards from Lake Ontario
tonight and this could touch off a few showers especially near or
east of Lake Ontario. The front will remain stalled over our area on
Monday with afternoon temperatures ranging from the lower 60s north
of the boundary to the lower 80s across the Southern Tier. While
there can be an afternoon shower or thunderstorm well south of
Buffalo and Rochester, most areas will be rain free. Temperatures
this week will average well above normal, especially Thursday and
Friday.

NYZ201-290800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
733 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     50            0           50           70
Precip type                   Showers         None        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       46           68           50           72
AM Wind (mph)                                NE  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        NE  6         E  6         W  6
Precip amount                    0.09         0.00         0.09         0.21
Precip duration                     3                         2            9
Precip begin                     6 PM                     10 PM   Continuing
Precip end                       3 AM                Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           50           98           60
Haines Index                        2            2            2            2
LAL                                 3            1            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         3510           70         6630
Transport wind (kt)              W 16         E  9         E 10         W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                1120        31590          700        86190
Dispersion Index                    1           32            1           86
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-290800-
Southern Tier-
733 PM EDT Sun Apr 28 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           30           30           80
Precip type                   Showers        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       52           78           57           74
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW  5
PM Wind (mph)                    W  5         W  6         S  5         W  8
Precip amount                    0.04         0.02         0.03         0.28
Precip duration                     2            1            2            7
Precip begin                     6 PM        12 PM         2 AM   Continuing
Precip end                       3 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           46          100           51
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            4            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)             70         7730           70         7500
Transport wind (kt)              W 13         W 12        SE  7         W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 910        92760          490       120000
Dispersion Index                    1           93            0          120
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
around 50.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 60s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$