000
FXUS62 KCAE 151721
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
121 PM EDT SAT JUN 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER VIRGINIA AND THE CAROLINAS TODAY WILL
BE OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED NEAR THE FORECAST AREA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SEEM
REASONABLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 THIS AFTERNOON
AS WELL AS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOWS TONIGHT IN THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 60S. LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
AND SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE GRADUALLY MOVES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST. MODEL TIME
SECTIONS INDICATE DRY CONDITIONS SUNDAY NIGHT BUT MORE INCREASES
BY MONDAY WITH MORE DIURNAL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND MONDAY EVENING. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH
MONDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS MAINLY IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90.
OVERNIGHT LOWS UPPER 60S SUNDAY NIGHT AND LOWER 70S MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NO CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST. THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES
A BIT MORE UNCERTAIN LOOKING AHEAD INTO NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF
THE NEXT APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
THAT THIS FRONT WILL LINGER NEAR/OR JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA DURING MUCH OF THE LONG RANGE PERIOD. WILL CONTINUE WITH
MENTION OF CHANCE TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR NORMAL...PER GUIDANCE.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL COVER THE REGION THROUGH SUNDAY. FAIR
WEATHER AFTERNOON CU MAINLY SCT 4-6 KFT WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY
AFTER SUNSET. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LITTLE
OR NO FOG NEAR DAYBREAK SUNDAY. DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE...LEFT FOG
OUT OF TAF SITES.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...A MOISTURE INCREASE WILL RESULT IN A
CHANCE FOR MAINLY DIURNAL THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.
&&

$$