Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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FXUS63 KDLH 262040
AFDDLH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
340 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

AT 330 PM...SKIES WERE CLEARING ACROSS THE NORTHLAND. THE
EXCEPTION WAS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA...WHICH
WILL TAKE THE LONGEST TO CLEAR. TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON RANGED
FROM THE 30S NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR TO THE MID 50S ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. 40S AND LOWER 50S WERE COMMON ELSEWHERE. WINDS
CONTINUED OUT OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST...WITH STRONG WINDS
CONTINUING NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR.

THE FOCUS FOR TONIGHT WILL BE CLOUD TRENDS AND TEMPERATURES ACROSS
THE NORTHLAND. THE MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT THE CLOUDS WILL
CONTINUE TO SCOUR OUT ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE BRAINERD LAKES
AREA BEING THE LAST TO CLEAR. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
RANGE FROM THE 20S TO AROUND 30. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE A
FEW LOCATIONS DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS IN INTERIOR PORTIONS OF
THE ARROWHEAD...WITH DEWPOINTS NOW IN THE TEENS.

DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHLAND ON
WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH VERY LATE IN THE DAY...THERE COULD BE A FEW
SPRINKLES MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN CWA TOWARD EVENING. GUSTY
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS AGAIN EXPECTED ON AND NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 340 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THE WEATHER WILL BE REASONABLY QUIET THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY WITH OCCASIONAL SHORTWAVES MOVING
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AS INDICATED BY THE PREVIOUS
SHIFT...THERE WILL NOT BE ANY WIDESPREAD HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF RAIN
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIODS...ONLY CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
UNFORTUNATELY...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL AND EAST
WINDS WILL BE PREDOMINANT AROUND LAKE SUPERIOR.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THOUGH IOWA AND ILLINOIS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.  THERE COULD BE SOME
SHOWERS MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY BUT SMALL AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND KEEP THE RAIN OUT OF
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL DEVELOP IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY AND SLOWLY MOVE EAST
THROUGH MISSOURI SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY THEN THROUGH INDIANA BY
LATE SUNDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS BEGINNING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN INCH
THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND DOMINATE THE WEATHER INTO
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 142 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

MAINLY VFR CIGS AT MOST SITES EXCEPT FOR BRD AS AN AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. IFR-MVFR CONDITIONS AT
BRD WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TO MVFR-VFR BY MID AFTERNOON AND VFR BY
EVENING. THERE MAY BE SOME MVFR CIGS AT HYR THIS AFTERNOON. ALL
SITES WILL STAY VFR THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DLH  28  47  31  44 /   0   0  10   0
INL  24  55  30  55 /   0   0   0   0
BRD  32  55  33  52 /   0  10  40  30
HYR  29  57  33  52 /   0   0  20  20
ASX  27  49  32  46 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR LSZ121-140>148.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DAP
LONG TERM...STEWART
AVIATION...STEWART


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