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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL
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000
FNUS73 KDVN 151258
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Hawkeye WMA-Oxford wells...IA DNR
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
758 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions continue today before a large system moves in for
tonight, lasting through early Wednesday, bringing widespread
showers and thunderstorms Tuesday and Tuesday night. For today,
abundant sunshine will once again help minimum RH values dip to the
20 to 30 percent range. Easterly winds around 10 to 15 mph are
expected to develop late this morning lasting into the evening
hours.

Widespread rainfall is expected with the upcoming system, with total
rainfall amounts between 1 to 2 inches likely, with heaviest
rainfall expected north of the Highway 30 corridor. Fire danger
threat will remain low throughout the area this week.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Max apparent temp...79.
Eye level winds.....East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 increasing to 4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph.
GFDI................7.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   2   1   0   0   0   0   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  69  73  74  77  79  79  79
RH..............39  35  29  28  26  25  25  25
Aparnt tmp (F)..64  69  73  74  77  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  13  14  14  14  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.18  20  18  18  20  20  21  21
Eye lvl wnd dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.11  12  11  11  12  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.18  20  18  18  16  17  17  18
GFDI............4   5   6   7   8   8   9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 0100, then 9-15 strikes until
                    0200, then 16-25 strikes.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Max apparent temp...79.
Eye level winds.....East winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    increasing to 32 mph after 3 am.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 14 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    increasing to 32 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......4200 decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 16 to 25 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 26 mph early in the morning.
GFDI................7.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........13     22     53     69     74     82
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10     30     50
LAL.............1      1      1      1      4      4
Temp............79     69     64     62     60     56
RH..............26     39     50     54     53     69
Aparnt tmp (F)..79     69     64     62     60     56
20 ft wind......E 14   E 14   E 15   E 16   E 18   E 20
20 ft wind gust.21     22     25     28     30     32
Eye level wind..E 8    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 11   E 12
Eye lvl wnd gst.13     13     15     17     18     19
Mix hgt (ft)....4200   600    500    700    700    1000
Transport wind..E 20   E 16   E 20   SE 21  E 24   SE 25
GFDI............8      6      6      6      7      6
Haines index....5      5      5      5      3      3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    through the day. Thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
LAL.................16-25 strikes until 1300, then >25 strikes.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Max apparent temp...68.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 11 to 14 mph shifting to the
                    south 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts
                    up to 38 mph.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 18 mph shifting to the south
                    20 to 25 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to
                    38 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1100 increasing to 1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 25 to 35 mph shifting to the south 25
                    to 26 mph late in the afternoon.
GFDI................7.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........86     83     88     90     87     81
Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).70     60     70     90     100    100
LAL.............4      4      4      4      5      5
Temp............55     55     59     65     67     68
RH..............74     69     78     75     84     81
Aparnt tmp (F)..55     55     59     65     67     68
20 ft wind......E 18   E 18   E 20   E 23   SE 23  S 21
20 ft wind gust.31     30     31     37     38     35
Eye level wind..E 11   E 11   E 12   E 14   SE 14  S 13
Eye lvl wnd gst.19     18     19     22     23     21
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   1400   1400   1800   1700   1400
Transport wind..E 25   SE 29  SE 30  SE 33  SE 32  S 26
GFDI............5      5      6      9      9      7
Haines index....3      2      2      2      4      4

$$
Forecaster...Gunkel
Requested by...David Kutz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410890.0/DVN
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
