Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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985
WUUS01 KWNS 151631
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2024

VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   35018192 35548171 35447792 35357705 34747691 33987795
       33407906 33588046 34408190 35018192
0.02   27247954 27228107 26358276 99999999 28958391 29958189
       30138050
0.02   37219586 36839597 36249635 35549853 35519997 35840115
       36670116 37090049 37849919 38429804 38559703 37999598
       37219586
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   27297963 27208113 26358274 99999999 29258402 30088196
       30438048
0.05   28970283 31130294 32800319 33870376 34880435 35810477
       37950518 38750489 39210405 38990201 39250047 40499896
       41419807 41859688 41429600 40499562 39569546 38359471
       37219464 36589471 36079518 35629585 34099910 33100037
       28949945 26399896 25829884
0.05   31687915 31687916 32048095 32918285 34218348 35458359
       36248254 36658195 36778066 36247912 35977725 35817553
       35367462
0.15   35329811 34709988 34630138 35000237 35990248 36900207
       37170124 37899949 38559827 38709697 38319613 37909584
       37429559 36879568 36259632 35329811
0.15   27797937 27508120 26848275 99999999 28668383 29558185
       30107978
0.15   32767888 32757890 32897976 33258059 34148202 35108190
       35548171 35528019 35447786 35297610 34707489
SIGN   36849660 36239725 35889874 35899979 36599999 36909978
       37519880 38049803 38049700 37499659 36849660
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   28910277 31020293 32720316 33760367 34700420 35870478
       36230477 36890453 37360408 37670354 38110262 38240075
       38939977 40509867 41369815 41859690 41329567 40319520
       39189491 37759381 36379345 34229664 32129942 29079948
       26199896
0.05   31677915 32068098 32908283 34168345 35458359 36688194
       36778070 36257913 35957710 35817548 35337459
0.05   26827948 26598109 25898239 99999999 29238406 30008216
       30438048
0.15   37509442 35649578 34419822 33180025 32860122 33040245
       33650287 34530298 35130341 36160350 37060280 38089918
       38589819 38729685 38349553 37509442
0.15   28738364 29558186 29878038 99999999 27277947 27198114
       26058331
0.15   32797887 32897979 33298064 34108204 35088190 35538170
       35507966 35437783 35257607 34717493
0.30   35920278 36870125 37049889 37509740 37559686 37289577
       36349621 35239828 34909946 34760174 35160277 35920278
SIGN   35870282 36880129 37069884 37499740 37559674 37259577
       36319624 35279814 34689993 34590137 35190276 35870282
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    36870125 37049889 37519743 37559686 37289577 36349621
       35239830 34849991 34780168 35170274 35870282 36870125
SLGT   37060280 38129912 38599817 38749677 38349553 37509442
       35649578 34419822 33180025 32860122 33040245 33650287
       34510299 35120342 36120351 37060280
SLGT   32767890 32887981 33298065 34128204 35108190 35548171
       35518026 35457790 35267607 34697489
SLGT   27267960 27218109 26338279 99999999 28738357 29548189
       29858061
MRGL   28880279 29220282 31140295 32760318 35810477 37950518
       38750489 39210405 38950203 39300041 40499896 41449810
       41859690 41329567 40319520 39189491 37759381 36379345
       32129942 29089948 25849884
MRGL   31677911 32068100 32908283 34168345 35458359 36688194
       36768072 36247908 35967705 35817552 35357459
MRGL   26827948 26598109 25888241 99999999 29238406 30058201
       30448044
TSTM   28320307 29890297 30900311 32380339 33490389 33620435
       33450517 33080595 32330706 32300840 32830954 33771100
       34011246 34141356 34781428 36491462 37061430 39381278
       41461265 43151177 44530976 44240744 43680622 43700393
       44740013 47279869 48249559 47859171 47139016 45869012
       43339050 41209101 39249061 37829027 36759060 35849131
       34919360 33849560 31749684 27999740 25129681 99999999
       29378615 30298498 31288377 32198369 33278444 34408615
       35528695 36898774 38678744 39708657 41238290 42148097
       42567947 42357870 41917840 41287860 40277904 39437924
       38087862 37107731 36807532 99999999 37907463 38947436
       39267422 39747408 40577374 40947278 41007186 40727048
       99999999 45696646 44106993 44097227 44547294 44977276
       45397234 46536992 47456729 99999999 49630304 48300352
       47800516 47670793 48301091 49481396 99999999 36861849
       35391740 34651703 34341692 34021710 34181773 34671821
       35371850 36791943 37591966 37471897 36861849

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE
GUY 20 NNW AVK 10 S ICT 30 ESE ICT 30 SSW CNU 20 WNW TUL 20 WNW CHK
35 NE CDS 30 S AMA 50 E TCC 20 SW DHT 20 NE GUY.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
SPD 50 ENE DDC 30 WSW SLN 30 SSW MHK 35 E EMP 25 N JLN 25 W MKO 20
SSE FSI 60 NNW ABI 45 NNE BGS 50 ENE HOB 55 SSE CVS 20 ENE CVS 10
ESE TCC 30 SW CAO 20 SSW SPD.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 S
CRE 15 E CHS 15 SE OGB 45 SE AND 15 NNE SPA 20 SW HKY 45 ENE CLT GSB
25 W HSE 55 SE HSE.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE
PBI 35 SSE AGR 60 WSW FMY ...CONT... 70 SSW CTY 25 ESE GNV 45 E SGJ.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 SSW
6R6 70 SSW 6R6 15 N FST HOB 25 ENE LVS 45 WSW PUB 10 WSW COS 20 WSW
LIC 25 SE ITR 30 W HLC 15 S EAR 35 NNE GRI 30 ESE OFK 10 E OMA 25 NE
FNB 10 S FLV 45 NNW SGF 20 WNW HRO 25 SE ABI 25 SW HDO 45 WSW MFE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100
SSE CHS 15 ESE SAV 50 ENE MCN 15 NNW AHN 35 SE TYS 30 ENE TRI 25 S
PSK 25 SSE DAN 50 E RWI 40 N HSE 60 E HSE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE
PBI 50 E FMY 45 WSW APF ...CONT... 65 WSW CTY 30 NNE GNV 60 ENE SGJ.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 130 SSW 6R6 45 WSW
6R6 10 W FST 25 SSW HOB 40 ENE ROW 25 NNE ROW 20 E SRR 20 NNE ALM 40
E DMN 25 SSW SVC SAD 65 ENE PHX 45 S PRC 75 WSW PRC 20 E EED 40 NE
LAS 40 W SGU 15 W U24 40 WNW OGD 30 SSE IDA 35 W COD 30 NE WRL 55
NNE CPR 50 WSW RAP 25 NNE PIR 25 N JMS 30 ENE TVF 10 ESE ELO 40 N
IWD 35 WNW RHI 20 WNW LNR 30 NNE BRL 35 NNW STL 10 ENE FAM 10 W POF
20 ENE BVX 35 SW RUE 15 NNW PRX 25 ENE ACT 15 NNE CRP 65 SE BRO
...CONT... 65 SSW PFN 40 WSW TLH 15 N MGR 35 S MCN 25 S ATL 30 N GAD
45 SSW BNA 20 NW HOP 45 N EVV 15 W IND 35 NW MFD 40 W ERI 30 NNW JHW
30 ENE JHW 15 ENE BFD 15 ENE DUJ 20 E LBE 40 ESE MGW 10 WSW CHO 25 S
RIC 50 E ORF ...CONT... 45 E WAL 35 SSE ACY 25 ESE ACY 25 SSE NEL
JFK 20 ENE ISP 20 SW BID 45 SSW ACK ...CONT... 60 NNE EPM 15 SSW AUG
15 ESE MPV 10 ENE BTV 25 W EFK 35 N EFK 95 WSW CAR 50 NE CAR
...CONT... 105 NNE ISN 10 NNE ISN 30 SE OLF 70 WSW GGW 55 WSW HVR 80
N GPI ...CONT... 35 S BIH 25 SE NID 20 SW DAG 35 SSW DAG 20 ENE RAL
20 NW RAL 10 WNW PMD 30 E BFL 15 E FAT 50 ENE MER 35 WNW BIH 35 S
BIH.