Tropical Weather Discussion
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000
AXPZ20 KNHC 171516
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Wed Apr 17 2024

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A trough extends from the Panama Colombia border near 08N78W to
06N93W. The ITCZ continues from 06N93W to 05N115W to 08N140W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 08N between
133W and 137W.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate NW winds persist along the coast and offshore waters of
Baja California, between weak high pressure west of the area and
lower pressure over central Mexico. NW swell moving through the
regional waters is producing seas of 6 to 8 ft to the
Revillagigedo Islands. Gentle to moderate winds and seas persist
elsewhere.

For the forecast, NW swell of 8 ft off Baja California to the Revillagigedo
Islands will gradually subside through late today. Gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas will persist elsewhere through Sat. Looking
ahead, fresh NW winds and building swell will follow a trough
into the waters near Guadalupe Island off Baja California Norte
by Sun.

...OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA,
AND WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate NE to E gap winds prevail across the Papagayo region
and Nicaragua waters to 90W, with 5 to 7 ft seas. Light to gentle
winds and moderate seas of 3 to 6 ft in SW swell are noted
elsewhere.

For the forecast, gap winds pulsing across the Gulf of Papagayo
will diminish later today. Gentle to moderate breezes will
persist elsewhere through Sun, with mostly 4 to 6 ft combined
seas primarily in SW swell.

...REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Fresh to locally strong trades are ongoing from 08N to 18N
between 125W and 135W. These winds are active between a 1008 mb
low pressure area along the ITCZ near 133W, and broad high
pressure north of 20N. Combined seas are 8 to 11 ft in this area,
in a mix of NW swell, S swell, and shorter-period easterly waves
resulting from the trade wind flow. A broader area of mixed
swell extends farther east of this area to about 110W. Gentle to
moderate breezes and moderate seas are evident elsewhere.

For the forecast, wave heights will subside across the region
through Fri, although an area of 8 ft seas will persist from 08N
to 12N west of 130W due to fresh trade winds and lingering
swell through Sun.

$$
Konarik


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