244
FNUS72 KFFC 010601
FWSFFC

Spot Forecast for Blackjack Crossing West Unit...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
201 AM EDT Wed May 1 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Good morning Mike,

Looking like a good day to burn.

We`ll start off this morning with some patchy fog in the area and
light/variable winds. As the sun rises, winds should pick up
clearing out the fog by mid to late morning and increasing
dispersion quality. Luckily, winds will be out of the
north/northeast so it should help to keep any lingering smoke away
from HWY 96 even before the winds pick up.

Minimum RH values will fall into the low 30s today. No sign of any
more rain for the rest of the week. The next chance for a wetting
rain won`t come until the weekend.

Feel free to reach out to us if you have any other questions or
concerns and we`ll do our best to address them.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Dewpoint............62 decreasing to 56 late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (33000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 to 46.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......15 increasing to 25.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........23     10     7      12     10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0
Temp............68     77     82     85     86
Dewpoint........64     64     60     57     54
RH..............88     65     47     38     34
20 ft wind......N 2    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5
20 ft wind gust.3      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   3200   5400   6400   7100
Transport wind..N 5    NE 8   N 7    N 6    N 6
LVORI...........5      2      1      1      1
ADI.............6      31     43     41     46
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6      21     27     30     33
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
Ceiling (kft)...15     25     25     25     25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24900 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 34.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     11     16     12     6      8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............86     80     74     70     67     64
Dewpoint........54     57     57     57     56     57
RH..............34     45     55     63     69     77
20 ft wind......N 5    NE 3   NE 3   NE 2   E 3    NE 2
20 ft wind gust.8      6      5      5      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5400   200    200    200    200    200
Transport wind..N 5    NE 5   NE 3   E 3    E 5    NE 3
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      3      4
ADI.............34     2      2      2      2      2
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25     1      1      1      1      1
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
Ceiling (kft)...25     25     25     25     25     25

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Dewpoint............59.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the southeast 7
                    to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 9 to
                    13 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (66300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 84 in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......25.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      1      0      4      25     12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      10     10
Temp............63     65     76     83     86     87
Dewpoint........57     59     61     60     58     57
RH..............80     82     60     46     38     36
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 3   E 6    SE 7   SE 8   SE 7
20 ft wind gust.6      6      9      12     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....200    200    3300   4800   6500   6400
Transport wind..NE 3   NE 5   E 9    E 13   SE 12  SE 10
LVORI...........5      4      1      1      1      1
ADI.............2      4      40     71     84     74
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1      1      34     50     66     57
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   GOOD   FAIR
Ceiling (kft)...25     25     25     25     25     25

$$
Forecaster...Vaughn
Requested by...Mike Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412829.0/FFC
.DELDT 05/01/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.thompson@tnc.org