Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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660
FXUS63 KFGF 262334
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
634 PM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 625 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Band of isolated showers in the central valley expected to
continue to slowly sink south and eventually diminish this
evening. Otherwise little change to the forecast with wind
gradually diminishing while clouds should hold on for most of the
FA overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Surface low pressure continues to track eastward across northwest
Ontario...and should track across James Bay through the evening
allowing the surface pressure gradient to relax a bit and thus
bring an end to our current strong westerly surface winds.

A secondary cold front has dropped across eastcentral ND and
northern MN through the early afternoon... with a postfrontal band
of low level clouds and scattered rain showers. Clouds should
diminish across eastern ND and the Red River Valley proper through
the overnight period as surface high pressure now in far northwest
Manitoba settles southward towards the Red River Basin. Low clouds
are more likely to persist into the morning hours over portions
of northcentral MN.

Expect generally fair skies and light northerly winds across the
area on Monday. Lingering cool advection throughout the day
should keep temperatures a good five to ten degrees below long
term seasonal normals... with temperatures ranging from the middle
60s near the Lake of the Woods to the lower 70s near the South
Dakota line.

Expect quite cool overnight temperatures for the next couple of
nights.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 242 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

Relatively quiet period for the upcoming work week and start of
the 4th of July holiday weekend. Region will remain in NW flow
aloft through the period.

Tuesday will be under the influence of high pressure for dry
conditions. Below average temperatures Tuesday should recover
close to average Wednesday.

Appears the best chance for rain will be later Wednesday into
Thursday as stronger wave and associated cold front rotates through
the fa.

high pressure will build back in as wave exits and should hold into
first part of the Independence day weekend. Temperatures to range
just below seasonal averages.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Sun Jun 26 2016

VFR cigs currently are expected to give way to some MVFR cigs
this evening across the northern TAF sites. Question remains how
long and expansive. Currently thinking BJI has the highest chance
at seeing 1000ft CIGS by morning with some guidance also
suggesting at DVL also. Winds will slowly weaken this
evening...into the night time as pressure gradient shifts
eastward...not diurnally driven so will stay up a bit even with
sundown.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...JK
SHORT TERM...Gust
LONG TERM...Voelker
AVIATION...JK



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