Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 271733
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1233 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

-RA has propagated east of the FA so removed pops for the
remainder of the day.  No other changes.

UPDATE Issued at 935 AM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

Back edge of cloud/rain shield confined to the far SE-E FA and
will continue to shift east this morning as wave exits the region.
Current forecast has this handled so no changes needed.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

The presence of the upper wave can be seen with the circulation
from radar imagery. General trend will be a slow progression
eastward of the associated showers. High pressure and a drier
airmass nudges into the region today. Expect a cooler and less
humid airmass along with dry weather. Guidance indicates activity
approaching from the west will dissipate before it reaches eastern
North Dakota.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 251 AM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

Thursday-Friday...Seasonable/dry airmass with low level ridging.
Very weak flow will lead to mostly dry weather and will not
include PoPs this period. With that said would not be surprised to
see an isolated storm (given evapotranspiration)...but
probability is very low for any one location.

Saturday-Tuesday...Models in general agreement again this run.
Surface high pressure retreats with return of southerly flow
bringing warmer air to the region...and a return to higher
humidity. Corresponding upper ridge amplification indicative of
return to much warmer temps. Highs are still looking to increase
into the upper 80s...and low 90s can be expected in the
southernmost part of the area. Otherwise...showers or storms can
not be ruled out through the period as a series of impulses
propagate through the flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

Some spotty high based cu otherwise VFR conditions expected
through the period.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Voelker
SHORT TERM...TG
LONG TERM...TG/Hopkins
AVIATION...Voelker



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