Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FGUS73 KFGF 061501
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MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-125-135-
159-167-NDC003-005-017-019-027-035-039-063-067-071-073-077-081-091-
095-097-099-301200-

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
902 AM CST THU MAR 6 2014

       ...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK...

...RED RIVER BASIN OUTLOOK FOR RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL...

   THIS OUTLOOK COVERS THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AS WELL AS
    ITS MINNESOTA AND NORTH DAKOTA TRIBUTARIES. IT COVERS THE
     PERIOD FROM MARCH 10TH TO JUNE 8TH.

...MINOR TO MODERATE SPRING FLOODING IS EXPECTED...

...EXCEPT AT FARGO/MOORHEAD THERE IS A LOW RISK OF MAJOR FLOODING...

. OUTLOOK SUMMARY...AT THIS TIME...

 * THERE IS A HIGH RISK (BETTER THAN 60%) FOR...

   - MODERATE FLOODING AT...FARGO/MOORHEAD...OSLO AND PEMBINA ON THE
      RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AS WELL AS AT DILWORTH MN ON THE SOUTH
       BRANCH OF THE BUFFALO RIVER AND AT ABERCROMBIE ON THE NORTH
        DAKOTA WILD RICE RIVER.

   - MINOR FLOODING AT...WAHPETON/BRECKENRIDGE...HALSTAD...GRAND
      FORKS AND DRAYTON ON THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AS WELL AS
       SABIN AND HAWLEY MN ON THE BUFFALO RIVER AND AT HENDRUM ON
        THE MINNESOTA WILD RICE RIVER AND AGAIN AT MINTO ND ON THE
         FOREST RIVER.

 * THERE IS A MEDIUM RISK (BETWEEN 30 AND 60%) FOR...

   - MAJOR FLOODING AT...FARGO/MOORHEAD ON THE RED RIVER OF THE
      NORTH.

   - MODERATE FLOODING AT...HALSTAD...GRAND FORKS...DRAYTON AND
      PEMBINA ON THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH AS WELL AS AT SABIN AND
       HAWLEY MN ON THE BUFFALO RIVER AND AT HARWOOD ND ON THE
        SHEYENNE RIVER.

   - MINOR FLOODING AT...HICKSON ON THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH...
      AS WELL AS AT CROOKSTON MN ON THE RED LAKE RIVER AND AT HALLOCK
       MN ON THE TWO RIVERS RIVER AND AT WEST FARGO AND HARWOOD ND
        ON THE SHEYENNE RIVER AND AT ENDERLIN AND MAPLETON ND ON THE
         MAPLE RIVER AND AT GRAFTON ND ON THE PARK RIVER.

 * THERE IS A LOW RISK (LESS THAN 30%) FOR...

   - MAJOR...MODERATE OR MINOR FLOODING AT...TWIN VALLEY MN ON
      THE MINNESOTA WILD RICE RIVER AS WELL AS AT SHELLY MN ON THE
       MARSH RIVER AND AT CLIMAX MN ON THE SAND HILL RIVER AND AT
        WARREN AND ALVARADO MN ON THE SNAKE RIVER AND AT ROSEAU MN
         ON THE ROSEAU RIVER AND AT VALLEY CITY...LISBON AND KINDRED
          ND ON THE SHEYENNE RIVER AND AT HILLSBORO ND ON THE GOOSE
           RIVER AND WALHALLA AND NECHE ND ON THE PEMBINA RIVER.

. OUTLOOK DISCUSSION...NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE LAST OUTLOOK.

  BELOW ARE HYDROLOGIC AND CLIMATE CONDITIONS WHICH CAN AFFECT THE
   FACTORS THAT HELP DETERMINE THE SEVERITY OF SPRING SNOWMELT
    FLOODING WITHIN THE RED RIVER OF THE NORTH BASIN:

 * SNOWPACK CONDITIONS...SNOW DEPTHS RANGE FROM A FEW INCHES TO A
    FOOT SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CARRINGTON TO JAMESTOWN TO LISBON TO
     JUST SOUTH OF FARGO IN NORTH DAKOTA AND ON TO DETROIT LAKES TO
      ALEXANDRIA IN MINNESOTA. SNOW DEPTHS RANGE FROM ONE TO TWO
       FEET NORTH OF THERE. DEPTHS ARE 2 FEET OR GREATER ALONG THE
        CANADIAN BORDER INTO THE LAKE OF THE WOODS REGION.

 * SNOW WATER EQUIVALENTS (SWES)...RANGE FROM AROUND AN INCH IN THE
    EXTREME SOUTHERN BASIN TO FOUR OR MORE INCHES IN THE FAR NORTHERN
     BASIN AND THE FORESTED AREAS OF NORTH-CENTRAL MINNESOTA. IN THE
      DEVILS LAKE BASIN...SWE VALUES RANGE FOR 2 TO 3 INCHES IN THE
       SOUTH AND 4 TO 5 IN THE NORTH.

 * SOIL MOISTURE...SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST OF THE FARGO/MOORHEAD AREA ARE
    RUNNING WETTER THAN NORMAL DUE TO CARRY-OVER PRECIPITATION DURING
     LAST SUMMER AND FALL. FROST DEPTHS...ARE RUNNING THREE TO FOUR
      FEET UNDER SNOWCOVER AND DEEPER UNDER PLOWED ROADS AND PARKING
       LOTS. EXPECT THE GROUND TO THAW LATER THAN NORMAL.

 * RIVER FLOWS...RIVER FLOWS ARE RUNNING AT NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
    THE YEAR. RIVER ICE IS RUNNING ABOUT A FOOT AND A HALF TO TWO
     FEET ON THE MAINSTEM RED... WHILE SLOWER FLOWING OR SHALLOWER
      TRIBUTARIES HAVE ICE THICKNESSES DOWN TO THREE FEET.

 * SHORT TERM WEATHER FORECAST FOR THE RED RIVER BASIN...FOR THE
    NEXT TWO WEEKS TEMPERATURES WILL BE GENERALLY ABOVE ZERO DEGREES
     FAHRENHEIT WITH A FEW ABOVE FREEZING DAYTIME HIGHS SUNDAY INTO
     EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO BIG SNOW-STORMS ARE ON THE HORIZON.
     TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM TO NEAR NORMAL BY MID MARCH.

* CLIMATE OUTLOOK FROM MID-MARCH INTO APRIL...LOOK FOR SOMEWHAT
   COLDER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TO PERSIST THROUGH MARCH INTO EARLY
    APRIL...BUT NOT AS COOL NOR AS LATE AS LAST YEAR. EXPECT BELOW
     NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. HEAVIER
      PRECIPITATION THAT MAY AFFECT THE SPRINGTIME FLOODING IS
       STILL POSSIBLE...BUT NOT AS LIKELY AS NORMAL...DURING THIS
        OUTLOOK PERIOD.

. ADDITIONAL COMMENTS...

 * FLOOD FACTORS YET TO BE DETERMINED ARE GROWTH OF THE SNOWPACK...
    THE RATE OF SNOWMELT... HEAVY RAIN ON TOP OF SNOW... RATE OF
     GROUND THAW DURING THE FLOOD AND OVERALL SOIL ABSORPTION
      DURING THE SNOW MELT AND SPRING RUNOFF PERIOD. THESE FACTORS
       WILL OFTEN BE MORE INFLUENTIAL THAN CONDITIONS WE HAVE
        EXPERIENCED SO FAR THROUGH EARLY MARCH.

 * BREAK-UP ICE JAMS POSSIBLE...AT ANY RIVERSIDE LOCATION ON THE
    MAINSTEM RED RIVER OF THE NORTH OR ITS MINNESOTA AND NORTH
     DAKOTA TRIBUTARIES...BUT MOST LIKELY AT OR NEAR RIVER
      CONSTRICTIONS...TIGHT MEANDERS...RIVER AND STREAM CONFLUENCES
       OR CHANGES IN CHANNEL GRADIENTS. IF YOU SEE ANY ICE JAMS...
        PLEASE REPORT THEM TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND TO OUR
         NWS WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AT 1.800.667.1218. OR ON
          OUR FACEBOOK PAGE OR TWITTER AT #RRNFLOOD2014.

 * PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS NOW USE 64 YEARS (1949-2012)
    OF PAST WEATHER...TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION...FOR THE
     ENSEMBLE OF PREDICTIVE HYDROGRAPHS USED IN CALCULATING THE
      PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING A RIVER LEVEL FOR THE OUTLOOK`S
       VALID PERIOD.

 * NO MORE SPRING SNOWMELT FLOODING OUTLOOKS ARE PLANNED FOR MARCH
    UNLESS CONDITIONS WARRANT. WE WILL RETURN TO THE NORMAL
     MONTHLY SCHEDULE OF PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS AFTER
      THE SPRING SNOWMELT FLOODING HAS RECEDED...PROBABLY FOR THE
       LATE APRIL RELEASE. ADDITIONALLY...DUE TO STATIC WINTERTIME
        RIVER FREEZES...WE WILL NOT BE ISSUING ANY OUTLOOKS FOR THE
         LATE OCTOBER...NOVEMBER NOR DECEMBER RELEASES.


        ...THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE HAS TWO SECTIONS...

  - THE FIRST TABLE GIVES THE CHANCES OF RIVER LOCATIONS REACHING
     A FLOOD CATEGORY (MAJOR/MODERATE/MINOR) BASED ON CURRENT
      HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (CS)...AS WELL AS THE CHANCES OF
       REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY BASED ON HISTORICAL HYDROLOGIC
        CONDITIONS (HS).

  - THE SECOND TABLE GIVES THE CHANCES OF RIVER LOCATIONS RISING
     ABOVE THE LISTED RIVER STAGES BASED CURRENT HYDROLOGIC
      CONDITIONS.

...RED RIVER LONG-RANGE PROBAILISTIC OUTLOOK BY FLOOD CATEGORY...

              VALID FROM MARCH 10, 2014  TO JUNE 8, 2014

IN TABLE 1 BELOW...THE CURRENT (CS) AND HISTORICAL (HS) OR NORMAL
  PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDING MINOR...MODERATE...AND MAJOR FLOOD
  STAGES ARE LISTED FOR THE VALID TIME PERIOD.

  - CS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABILITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY
    BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS.

  - HS VALUES INDICATE THE PROBABIITY OF REACHING A FLOOD CATEGORY
    BASED ON HISTORICAL OR NORMAL CONDITIONS.

  - WHEN THE VALUE OF CS IS MORE THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF
    EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL. WHEN THE VALUE OF CS
    IS LESS THAN HS...THE PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THAT LEVEL IS
    LOWER THAN NORMAL.


...TABLE 1--PROBABILITIES FOR MINOR...MODERATE AND MAJOR FLOODING
                 VALID PERIOD:   3/10/2014 - 6/8/2014

                                         : CURRENT AND HISTORICAL
                                         :  CHANCES OF EXCEEDING
                                         :    FLOOD CATEGORIES
                                         :   AS S PERCENTAGE (%)
                         CATEGORICAL     :
                      FLOOD STAGES (FT)  :  MINOR   MODERATE  MAJOR
LOCATION            MINOR    MOD   MAJOR :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
RED RIVER OF THE NORTH.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  75  55   24  26    9  10
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  32  21    6  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  72   80  36   44  21
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  63  32   32  18    7   7
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 : >95  56   41  33    7  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  61  >95  52   10  18
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 :  80  43   50  35    6  12
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 :  90  49   60  44   20  21
MINNESOTA TRIBUTARIES.....
  SABIN               12.0   15.0   19.0 : >95  66   40  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               7.0    9.0   11.0 :  90  50   41  26   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            12.0   20.0   26.0 : >95  69   61  18   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :   7  12   <5  <5   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  84  49   27  21   <5  <5
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  18  30   <5   7   <5  <5
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  29  24    9   9   <5  <5
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  13  29    6  24   <5  20
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 :  41  50   <5  15   <5   9
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   76.0 :   7  12   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  13  23    9  12   <5  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 :  46  55   12  40   <5   6
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :   9  18   <5  10   <5  10
NORTH DAKOTA TRIBUTARIES.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  92  43   81  33   30  18
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  <5  15   <5   9   <5   7
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :   9  10   <5   6   <5  <5
  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  29  23   20  12    6   7
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    18.0   20.0   21.0 :  36  26   27  18   15  12
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  40  23   35  20    6  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  32  23    6   9   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  47  30   12  13   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  21  15    9   9   <5  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 :  69  30   13  10   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 :  55  18   23  <5    9  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 :  10  18   <5  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 :  20  24   15  21    7  13

LEGEND:
    CS  =  CONDITIONAL SIMULATION (OUTLOOK FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS)
    HS  =  HISTORICAL SIMULATION  ( "       "  NORMAL  CONDITIONS)
    FT  =  FEET                   (ABOVE GAGE ZERO DATUM)



...RED RIVER LONG-RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK BY RIVER STAGE...

              VALID FROM MARCH 10, 2014  TO JUNE 8, 2014

IN TABLE 2 BELOW...THE 95 THROUGH 5 PERCENT COLUMNS INDICATE THE
  PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDING THE LISTED STAGE LEVELS (FT) FOR THE
  VALID TIME PERIOD AT THE LOCATION LISTED.

  EXAMPLE: THE RED RIVER AT WAHPETON HAS A FLOOD STAGE OF 10 FEET.
  FOR THE VALID PERIOD...THERE IS A 50 PERCENT CHANCE THAT THE RED
  RIVER AT WAHPETON WILL RISE ABOVE 11.8 FEET AND ONLY A 10 PERCENT
  CHANCE THAT IT WILL RISE ABOVE 14.8 FEET.

...TABLE 2--EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITIES...

                                 CHANCE OF EXCEEDING STAGES
                                   AT SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
                            VALID PERIOD:   3/10/2014 - 6/8/2014


LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
RED RIVER OF THE NORTH.....
  WAHPETON             9.8   10.3   11.0   11.8   13.0   14.8   15.2
  HICKSON             21.2   22.6   24.8   27.5   31.3   33.1   34.5
  FARGO               22.8   23.7   25.2   29.0   32.3   34.0   36.2
  HALSTAD             21.8   23.1   24.9   27.6   32.9   36.8   37.9
  GRAND FORKS         30.3   31.5   34.3   38.0   42.5   45.6   47.8
  OSLO                30.9   31.8   33.3   34.2   35.6   36.9   37.9
  DRAYTON             30.1   31.2   32.7   38.3   40.2   41.6   42.8
  PEMBINA             38.3   39.3   41.2   46.2   48.5   51.0   52.1


MINNESOTA TRIBS:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
SOUTH FORK BUFFALO RIVER.....
  SABIN               13.4   13.7   14.3   14.8   15.4   16.5   17.3
BUFFALO RIVER.....
  HAWLEY               6.6    7.1    7.6    8.5    9.6   10.1   10.5
  DILWORTH            16.9   17.6   19.5   20.5   22.0   23.3   24.0
WILD RICE RIVER.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.4    5.7    6.3    6.9    8.2    9.5   10.3
  HENDRUM             18.8   19.5   21.6   24.8   28.5   30.0   31.1
MARSH RIVER.....
  SHELLY               7.6    7.9    8.5    9.9   12.5   18.4   21.6
SAND HILL RIVER.....
  CLIMAX              11.7   11.8   12.0   16.2   21.1   25.6   28.5
RED LAKE RIVER.....
  HIGH LANDING         9.2    9.4    9.8   10.4   11.2   12.3   13.0
  CROOKSTON           10.4   11.6   12.7   14.5   17.1   20.6   22.3
SNAKE RIVER.....
  ABOVE WARREN        62.8   62.9   63.6   64.1   64.8   66.6   69.1
  ALVARADO            99.6  100.2  101.2  102.9  104.7  107.4  108.9
TWO RIVERS RIVER.....
  HALLOCK            798.6  798.8  799.8  801.4  804.8  806.9  807.8
ROSEAU RIVER.....
  ROSEAU              10.7   11.3   11.9   13.1   14.6   16.0   17.2


NORTH DAKOTA TRIBS:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
WILD RICE RIVER.....
  ABERCROMBIE          9.9   10.9   12.5   16.6   18.6   20.2   22.6
SHEYENNE RIVER.....
  VALLEY CITY          8.9    9.3   10.2   11.5   12.5   13.7   16.1
  LISBON               8.9    9.2   10.1   11.4   13.3   14.7   19.1
  KINDRED             11.3   12.4   13.0   14.7   17.7   19.9   21.0
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    15.0   16.0   16.4   17.2   20.4   22.1   23.2
  HARWOOD            878.8  879.2  880.1  882.1  888.6  890.5  892.0
MAPLE RIVER.....
  ENDERLIN             7.3    7.5    7.9    8.6   10.5   11.5   12.5
  MAPLETON           902.1  902.3  903.4  904.9  907.1  908.3  909.0
GOOSE RIVER.....
  HILLSBORO            5.2    5.3    5.9    7.4    9.5   12.9   15.5
FOREST RIVER.....
  MINTO                4.8    5.0    5.8    6.8    7.6    8.5    9.0
PARK RIVER.....
  GRAFTON             10.6   10.9   11.3   12.3   13.5   14.4   15.9
PEMBINA RIVER.....
  WALHALLA             5.4    5.9    6.9    7.9    9.3   11.3   12.9
  NECHE                9.0    9.9   11.6   14.3   17.1   20.2   21.3

.THE OUTLOOK PRODUCTION PROCESS...

THIS LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK IS BASED ON A SERIES OF PEAK
RIVER LEVELS OR CRESTS TAKEN FROM THE FORECAST HYDROGRAPH RESULTS
OF THE NWS COMMUNITY HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SYSTEM (CHPS). THE MODEL
IS RUN FOR MULTIPLE SCENARIOS STARTING AT CURRENT RIVER...SNOW AND
SOIL CONDITIONS AND USING NEARLY 50 YEARS OF PAST PRECIPITATION AND
TEMPERATURE CONDITIONS THAT WERE EXPERIENCED FOR THOSE PAST YEARS
DURING THE TIME-FRAME OF THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. THESE CRESTS CAN THEN
BE RANKED FROM LOWEST TO HIGHEST...AND THEN BE ASSIGNED AN
EXCEEDANCE PROBABILITY. FOR EXAMPLE...FOR A SERIES OF 50 YEARS...
THE LOWEST RANKED CREST HAS 49 CRESTS ABOVE IT AND SINCE 95 PERCENT
OF THE CRESTS ARE ABOVE IT... IT IS ASSIGNED A 95 PERCENT
PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE (POE).

THE PROBABILITIES CAN BE USED FOR RISK MANAGEMENT BY COMARING THIS
YEARS CURRENT SPRING TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOKS WITH
THOSE OF PAST YEARS USED IN THE HYDRO OUTLOOK. THEY CAN ALSO BE
USED AS AN INDICATION OF THE RANGE OF CRESTS THAT MAY BE EXPECTED
DURING THE VALID PERIOD OF THE OUTLOOK.

BY PROVIDING A RANGE OF PEAK RIVER LEVEL PROBABILITIES..THE NWS IS
IS CONTRIBUTING TO THE AREAS DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES THAT HELP
WITH LONG RANGE FLOOD PLANNING AND RESPONSE READINESS.  THIS OUTLOOK
IS A PART OF NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE/S AHPS (ADVANCED
HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICES).

THIS OUTLOOK WAS PRODUCED USING PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURES
FOR THE YEARS 1949 THROUGH 2012.

. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SOURCES...

THE AHPS LONG RANGE PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS ARE ISSUED
EACH MONTH TYPICALLY BETWEEN THE FIRST AND SECOND FRIDAY AFTER
MID-MONTH. HOWEVER...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOKS ARE
ISSUED SEVERAL TIMES DURING THE CRITICAL SPRING MELT PERIOD...
USUALLY ON THURSDAYS BEGINNING IN LATE FEBRUARY OR EARLY MARCH AND
ENDING IN EARLY APRIL...DEPENDING ON THE SPRING FLOODING CONDITIONS.

THIS OUTLOOK IS ALSO PRESENTED AS GRAPHS OF THE PROBABILITY OF STAGE
EXCEEDANCE FOR THE FULL PERIOD AND FOR WEEKLY INTERVALS DURING THE
PERIOD. THESE GRAPHS...TOGETHER WITH EXPLANATIONS THAT HELP IN
INTERPRETING THEM ARE AVAILABLE FROM THE NWS GRAND FORKS AHPS WEB
PAGE ON THE INTERNET AT:

        WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GRANDFORKS OR WEATHER.GOV/FGF

  THEN CLICK ON THE "RIVERS AND LAKES AHPS"ON THE TAB ABOVE THE MAP
  ...OR ON THE LINK IN THE BLUE-LEFT-HAND BANNER.

CURRENT RIVER CONDITIONS FOR ALL RIVER FORECAST POINTS IN THE RED
RIVER OF THE NORTH AND DEVILS/STUMP LAKE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
AVAILABLE ON OUR WEB SITE...AS WELL AS THE 7-DAY FORECASTS WHEN
THE RIVER AT THE FORECAST POINT IS IN OR NEAR FLOOD.

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS...CONTACT THE NWS AT 701-772-0720.

A NEW...POINT SPECIFIC FLOOD BRIEFING WEB PAGE IS AVAILABLE AT:

   WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FGF/BRIEFING/FLOODBRIEFING.PHP (USE LOWER CASE)

ALSO...7-DAY DETERMINISTIC FORECASTS WILL BE ISSUED AT LEAST ONCE A
DAY WHEN THE RIVER FORECAST LOCATIONS WILL BE AT FLOOD DURING THAT
PERIOD.

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOKS WILL BE ISSUED MONTHLY THROUGHOUT
THE REST OF THE YEAR DURING THE LATER PART OF THE MONTH OR AS
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

REFER TO THE SEPARATE DEVILS LAKE PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
FOR DEVILS AND STUMP LAKES PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE LEVELS AND LOW-
WATER NON-EXCEEDANCE LEVELS.
$$
TEAM FGF
NNNN





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