Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FGUS73 KFGF 171832
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MNZ003-029-NDZ039-053-181845-

Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1232 PM CST Fri Feb 17 2017

...Snow melt runoff and possible Southern Valley river rises...

Drier and warmer weather across the area has resulted in most of the
snow cover disappearing over much of the Wild Rice in ND, the Bois
de Sioux, and western Buffalo Basins. Although the snow cover has
disappeared, there has not been a response from winter
precipitation into the river system. It is believed that some of
the winter water from the snowpack and rain is frozen in the
soil, field tiles, and ditches.

There continues to be uncertainty about how much of this water
will flow into the river system over the next few days of the warm
spell. A storm system is forecast to cross the area Monday and
Monday night bringing measurable rain across the forecast area.
The rain will add to the possible runoff of water starting to
enter the river system. Based on forecast warmth and precipitation
from the upcoming event, the potential exists for some of the
rivers in the southern Red River basin to reach near to above
minor flood stage. Most likely values and timing are listed
below.

Location....Flood Stage.......Rising to........When

Wahpeton.......11ft.......... 9 to 10ft......Tuesday Feb 21
Hawley..........8ft.......... 7 to 8ft.......Wednesday Feb 22
Sabin..........12ft..........13 to 14ft......Wednesday Feb 22
Abercrombie....10ft.......... 8 to 9ft.......Wednesday Feb 22
Fargo..........18ft..........21 to 22ft......Thursday Feb 23
Enderlin......9.5ft.......... 8 to 9ft.......Thursday Feb 23
Mapleton......905ft.........904 to 905ft.....Thursday Feb 23
Dilworth.......13ft..........16 to 17ft......Friday Feb 24


$$

JK/BH


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