Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-069-077-087-089-107-111-113-119-125-
135-159-167-NDC003-005-017-019-027-035-039-063-067-071-073-077-
081-091-095-097-099-281200-

PROBABILISTIC HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA/GRAND FORKS ND
1035 AM CST Thu Feb 16 2017

...Corrected to update all Tables 1 and 2 numbers...

...SPRING FLOOD AND WATER RESOURCES OUTLOOK...

...RED RIVER BASIN OUTLOOK FOR RIVER FLOOD POTENTIAL...

         This Outlook covers the Red River of the North
         and its Minnesota and North Dakota tributaries,
               from February 19th to May 20th 2017.

...RISK OF SNOW MELT FLOODING MOSTLY NORTH OF HILLSBORO/HALSTAD...

. OUTLOOK SUMMARY...

 * Probabilities for exceeding Major, Moderate, Minor Flood Stage...

Major Flooding...

   A high risk (greater than 65%) of Major Flooding is expected at
Pembina ND on the Red River, Grafton ND on the Park River, and Neche
ND on the Pembina river.

   A medium risk (35 to 65%) of Major Flooding is expected at
High Landing MN on the Red Lake River, and at Hallock MN on the Two
Rivers River.

 Moderate Flooding...

  A high risk of Moderate Flooding is expected at Oslo, Drayton and
Pembina on the Red River...In Minnesota, at High Landing on the Red
Lake River, and at Hallock on the Two Rivers River...In North
Dakota, at Grafton on the Park River, and at Neche on the Pembina
River.

  A medium risk of Moderate Flooding is expected at Fargo/Moorhead
and Grand Forks on the Red River...In Minnesota, at Alvarado on the
Snake River...In North Dakota, at Abercrombie on the Wild Rice
River, on the West Fargo Diversion, at Hillsboro on the Goose River,
and at Minto on the Forest River.

 Minor Flooding...

   A low risk (less than 35%) risk7 of Minor Flooding at Dickson on
the Red River. On the Minnesota tributaries, at Twin Valley on the
Wild Rice River, at Climax on the Sandhill River, at Warren on the
Snake River, and at Roseau on the Roseau River. On the North Dakota
tributaries, at Valley City and Lisbon on the Sheyenne River.

   Otherwise there is a high to medium risk of Minor Flooding for the
rest of the forecast locations in the Red River of the North`s basin.



 * This 90-day Outlook covers the period from Feb 19 to May 20 2017.

. OUTLOOK DISCUSSION...

  Hydrologic and Climate conditions which affect each of the several
   factors that significantly determine the timing and magnitude of
    spring snowmelt flooding within the Red River of the North are
     discussed below:

 * SNOWPACK CONDITIONS...

    A foot and a half to two feet of snow is still on the ground in
the Devils Lake Basin and the extreme northern part of the Red River
Basin, especially west of North Dakota`s Pembina escarpment; in the
Grafton, Pembina to Hallock regions of the valley proper; and over
portions of Kittson, Marshall, Roseau, Beltrami and Lake of the Woods
counties in Northwest Minnesota.

   Elsewhere, the snowpack depth tapers off to near nothing just
south of a Valley City to Mayville-Portland line in North Dakota and
then south of a Halstad to Ada and Lake Park line in Minnesota...
throughout much of the southern Red River Valley drainage area.

Significant snowpack still remains in the upper Sheyenne River
Basin, above Valley City and Cooperstown.

   Snow Water Equivalents range from 3 to 6 inches of water in the
deepest snowpack northeast from Devils Lake into Pembina... then
decreasing to around 2 inches near Grand Forks... to less than an
inch in scattered snow south of7 Hillsboro.

   For the most current snowpack information, refer to the National
Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center (NOHRSC) snow
interactive snow information web site at:

   www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html

 * SOIL MOISTURE AND FROST DEPTHS...

   The Warm and moist fall weather extending into the early winter
    months have kept the soil moistures high going into freeze-up. As
     of February 12th, the soil moistures in Eastern North Dakota and
      Northwestern Minnesota are peaking into the 90th percentile
       rank.

   Due to the warm autumn and deeper snowpack on the ground before
    the very cold temperatures, frost depths are less than normal
     ranging from 8 to 20 inches with about 18" in the Grand Forks
      area.

 * RIVER FLOWS...

   The USGS indicates that the rivers and streams in the basin are
    running two to six times their normal flow for this time of the
     year. High flows are attributed to high late summer and fall
      rainfalls, very moist soils, and recent thaw conditions.

 * RIVER ICE...

    There is little to no solid ice cover on the rivers and streams
     in the southern Red River Basin, with upwards of a foot to 18
      inches of ice evident in the northern basin. Be aware that
       there will be thinner ice in more turbulent water, and
        especially near rock-7riffle dams.

 * FACTORS YET TO BE DETERMINED...
    - Further snowpack growth,
    - Rate of snowmelt/thaw,
    - Heavy rain on snow or frozen ground during thaw or peak flood,
    - Heavy rain on ice-covered rivers causing short-term ice jams.

...Table 1--Probabilities for minor...moderate and major flooding
               Valid Period:   02/19/2017 - 05/20/2017

                                         : Current and Historical
                                         :  Chances of Exceeding
                                         :    Flood Categories
                                         :   as s Percentage (%)
                         Categorical     :
                    Flood Stages (FT)    :  Minor   Moderate  Major
Location            Minor   Mod   Major  :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
...Table 1--Probabilities for minor...moderate and major flooding
               Valid Period:   02/19/2017 - 05/20/2017

                                         : Current and Historical
                                         :  Chances of Exceeding
                                         :    Flood Categories
                                         :   as s Percentage (%)
                         Categorical     :
                    Flood Stages (FT)    :  Minor   Moderate  Major
Location            Minor   Mod   Major  :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  65  50   21  26    6  13
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  18  20   <5  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  76   37  37   18  22
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  39  33   14  17   <5   9
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 :  94  57   46  32    6  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  63   94  55   24  19
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 : >95  48   83  33   15  11
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 : >95  56  >95  43   72  22
Minnesota Tributaries.....
  SABIN               13.0   15.0   19.0 :  69  47   14  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               8.0    9.0   11.0 :  50  36   22  25   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            13.0   20.0   26.0 :  90  66   21  19   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :  14  18   <5   6   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  77  52   21  21   <5   6
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  31  31   <5  11   <5   6
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  22  23    6  11   <5   7
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  85  46   78  43   55  33
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 : >95  52   12  13    6   8
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   75.0 :  27  14   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  82  19   57  15    9  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 : >95  63  >95  43   30  15
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :  27  19   <5   5   <5  <5
   Note: The Roseau numbers consider the flow thru its diversion
North Dakota Tributaries.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  48  35   33  32    9  19
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  28   8   25   7   17  <5
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :  25   9   13   8   <5   6
...Table 1--Probabilities for minor...moderate and major flooding
               Valid Period:   02/19/2017 - 05/20/2017

                                         : Current and Historical
                                         :  Chances of Exceeding
                                         :    Flood Categories
                                         :   as s Percentage (%)
                         Categorical     :
                    Flood Stages (FT)    :  Minor   Moderate  Major
Location            Minor   Mod   Major  :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  65  50   21  26    6  13
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  18  20   <5  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  76   37  37   18  22
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  39  33   14  17   <5   9
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 :  94  57   46  32    6  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  63   94  55   24  19
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 : >95  48   83  33   15  11
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 : >95  56  >95  43   72  22
Minnesota Tributaries.....
  SABIN               13.0   15.0   19.0 :  69  47   14  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               8.0    9.0   11.0 :  50  36   22  25   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            13.0   20.0   26.0 :  90  66   21  19   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :  14  18   <5   6   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  77  52   21  21   <5   6
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  31  31   <5  11   <5   6
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  22  23    6  11   <5   7
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  85  46   78  43   55  33
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 : >95  52   12  13    6   8
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   75.0 :  27  14   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  82  19   57  15    9  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 : >95  63  >95  43   30  15
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :  27  19   <5   5   <5  <5
   Note: The Roseau numbers consider the flow thru its diversion
North Dakota Tributaries.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  48  35   33  32    9  19
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  28   8   25   7   17  <5
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :  25   9   13   8   <5   6
  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  56  18   28  10   11   9
  WEST FARGO DVRSN   18.70   20.0   21.0 :  79  21   36  16   28  11
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  36  23   27  21    9  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  40  21   10  10   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  49  30   13  14   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  75  17   38  10   <5  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 : >95  26   30   8   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 : >95  18  >95   6   93  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 :  89  19   11  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 : >95  28  >95  26  >95  19

LEGEND:
    CS  =  Conditional Simulation (Outlook for current conditions)
    HS  =  Historical  Simulation ( "       "  normal  conditions)
    FT  =  Feet                   (above gage zero datum)



...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017



LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            10.1   10.3   10.6   11.3   12.6   14.5   15.4
  HICKSON             20.5   21.0   21.8   24.0   27.3   31.9   33.6
  FARGO               19.6   20.3   20.9   23.5   28.4   32.8   33.7
  HALSTAD             15.6   17.3   20.4   23.6   29.9   34.4   37.4
  GRAND FORKS         27.4   30.5   35.3   38.7   43.0   45.2   48.6
  OSLO                29.0   31.6   33.8   34.5   35.9   36.8   38.2
  DRAYTON             34.4   36.7   39.0   40.6   41.6   42.3   43.5
  PEMBINA             45.7   46.7   48.6   50.4   51.9   52.7   53.5


Minnesota Tribs:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
South Fork Buffalo River.....
  SABIN               11.8   12.3   12.8   13.6   14.4   15.3   15.5
Buffalo River.....
  HAWLEY               6.2    6.5    7.3    8.0    8.8    9.8   10.3
  DILWORTH            12.5   12.9   15.0   18.0   19.5   21.4   22.3
Wild Rice River.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.6    6.0    6.5    7.9    9.2   10.9   11.9
  HENDRUM             15.6   17.8   20.6   22.7   27.4   29.7   31.1
Marsh River.....
  SHELLY               8.7    9.4   10.9   12.2   14.8   18.0   19.1
Sand Hill River.....
  CLIMAX              11.2   11.5   12.0   15.7   19.7   23.1   28.2
Red Lake river.....
  HIGH LANDING        10.6   11.4   12.8   13.0   13.2   13.4   13.6
  CROOKSTON           15.1   15.6   17.1   19.7   21.7   23.7   25.6
Snake River.....
  ABOVE WARREN        64.6   64.8   65.1   66.0   67.1   68.3   70.3
  ALVARADO           105.2  105.7  106.5  108.6  109.3  109.9  110.5
Two Rivers River.....
  HALLOCK            807.2  807.6  808.5  809.1  810.1  811.1  811.9
Roseau River..... considering the flow thru the Roseau diversion.
  ROSEAU              11.8   12.4   13.2   14.5   16.1   16.8   17.1


North Dakota Tribs:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Wild Rice River.....
  ABERCROMBIE          5.3    6.0    7.0    9.5   14.6   18.0   19.6
Sheyenne River.....
  VALLEY CITY         11.5   11.8   12.8   13.7   16.1   17.4   18.1
  LISBON              11.1   11.5   12.4   12.9   15.0   17.7   18.5
  KINDRED             13.6   14.0   15.4   16.4   19.5   20.6   21.1
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    16.4   16.4   18.2   18.5   21.2   22.9   23.2
  HARWOOD            878.3  879.0  880.0  883.1  886.7  890.5  892.0
Maple River.....
  ENDERLIN             6.6    6.9    8.5    9.2   10.3   12.0   13.5
  MAPLETON           899.4  900.2  902.9  904.9  906.8  908.3  909.2
Goose River.....
  HILLSBORO            6.7    8.5    9.9   12.3   13.8   15.2   15.9
Forest River.....
  MINTO                6.3    6.8    7.1    7.6    8.0    8.6    8.9
Park River.....
  GRAFTON             14.3   15.1   15.9   17.2   18.6   19.3   20.0
Pembina River.....
  WALHALLA            10.6   10.8   12.2   13.4   14.7   16.0   16.3
  NECHE               20.7   20.8   21.4   21.4   21.5   21.6   21.7

  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  56  18   28  10   11   9
  WEST FARGO DVRSN   18.70   20.0   21.0 :  79  21   36  16   28  11
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  36  23   27  21    9  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  40  21   10  10   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  49  30   13  14   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  75  17   38  10   <5  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 : >95  26   30   8   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 : >95  18  >95   6   93  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 :  89  19   11  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 : >95  28  >95  26  >95  19

LEGEND:
    CS  =  Conditional Simulation (Outlook for current conditions)
    HS  =  Historical  Simulation ( "       "  normal  conditions)
    FT  =  Feet                   (above gage zero datum)



...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017



LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            10.1   10.3   10.6   11.3   12.6   14.5   15.4
  HICKSON             20.5   21.0   21.8   24.0   27.3   31.9   33.6
  FARGO               19.6   20.3   20.9   23.5   28.4   32.8   33.7
  HALSTAD             15.6   17.3   20.4   23.6   29.9   34.4   37.4
  GRAND FORKS         27.4   30.5   35.3   38.7   43.0   45.2   48.6
  OSLO                29.0   31.6   33.8   34.5   35.9   36.8   38.2
  DRAYTON             34.4   36.7   39.0   40.6   41.6   42.3   43.5
  PEMBINA             45.7   46.7   48.6   50.4   51.9   52.7   53.5


Minnesota Tribs:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
South Fork Buffalo River.....
  SABIN               11.8   12.3   12.8   13.6   14.4   15.3   15.5
Buffalo River.....
  HAWLEY               6.2    6.5    7.3    8.0    8.8    9.8   10.3
  DILWORTH            12.5   12.9   15.0   18.0   19.5   21.4   22.3
Wild Rice River.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.6    6.0    6.5    7.9    9.2   10.9   11.9
  HENDRUM             15.6   17.8   20.6   22.7   27.4   29.7   31.1
Marsh River.....
  SHELLY               8.7    9.4   10.9   12.2   14.8   18.0   19.1
Sand Hill River.....
  CLIMAX              11.2   11.5   12.0   15.7   19.7   23.1   28.2
Red Lake river.....
  HIGH LANDING        10.6   11.4   12.8   13.0   13.2   13.4   13.6
  CROOKSTON           15.1   15.6   17.1   19.7   21.7   23.7   25.6
Snake River.....
  ABOVE WARREN        64.6   64.8   65.1   66.0   67.1   68.3   70.3
  ALVARADO           105.2  105.7  106.5  108.6  109.3  109.9  110.5
Two Rivers River.....
  HALLOCK            807.2  807.6  808.5  809.1  810.1  811.1  811.9
Roseau River..... considering the flow thru the Roseau diversion.
  ROSEAU              11.8   12.4   13.2   14.5   16.1   16.8   17.1


North Dakota Tribs:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Wild Rice River.....
  ABERCROMBIE          5.3    6.0    7.0    9.5   14.6   18.0   19.6
Sheyenne River.....
  VALLEY CITY         11.5   11.8   12.8   13.7   16.1   17.4   18.1
  LISBON              11.1   11.5   12.4   12.9   15.0   17.7   18.5
  KINDRED             13.6   14.0   15.4   16.4   19.5   20.6   21.1
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    16.4   16.4   18.2   18.5   21.2   22.9   23.2
  HARWOOD            878.3  879.0  880.0  883.1  886.7  890.5  892.0
Maple River.....
  ENDERLIN             6.6    6.9    8.5    9.2   10.3   12.0   13.5
  MAPLETON           899.4  900.2  902.9  904.9  906.8  908.3  909.2
Goose River.....
  HILLSBORO            6.7    8.5    9.9   12.3   13.8   15.2   15.9
Forest River.....
  MINTO                6.3    6.8    7.1    7.6    8.0    8.6    8.9
Park River.....
  GRAFTON             14.3   15.1   15.9   17.2   18.6   19.3   20.0
Pembina River.....
  WALHALLA            10.6   10.8   12.2   13.4   14.7   16.0   16.3
  NECHE               20.7   20.8   21.4   21.4   21.5   21.6   21.7

--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  65  50   21  26    6  13
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  18  20   <5  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  76   37  37   18  22
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  39  33   14  17   <5   9
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 :  94  57   46  32    6  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  63   94  55   24  19
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 : >95  48   83  33   15  11
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 : >95  56  >95  43   72  22
Minnesota Tributaries.....
  SABIN               13.0   15.0   19.0 :  69  47   14  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               8.0    9.0   11.0 :  50  36   22  25   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            13.0   20.0   26.0 :  90  66   21  19   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :  14  18   <5   6   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  77  52   21  21   <5   6
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  31  31   <5  11   <5   6
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  22  23    6  11   <5   7
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  85  46   78  43   55  33
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 : >95  52   12  13    6   8
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   75.0 :  27  14   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  82  19   57  15    9  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 : >95  63  >95  43   30  15
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :  27  19   <5   5   <5  <5
   Note: The Roseau numbers consider the flow thru its diversion
North Dakota Tributaries.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  48  35   33  32    9  19
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  28   8   25   7   17  <5
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :  25   9   13   8   <5   6
  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  56  18   28  10   11   9
  WEST FARGO DVRSN   18.70   20.0   21.0 :  79  21   36  16   28  11
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  36  23   27  21    9  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  40  21   10  10   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  49  30   13  14   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  75  17   38  10   <5  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 : >95  26   30   8   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 : >95  18  >95   6   93  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 :  89  19   11  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 : >95  28  >95  26  >95  19

LEGEND:
    CS  =  Conditional Simulation (Outlook for current conditions)
    HS  =  Historical  Simulation ( "       "  normal  conditions)
    FT  =  Feet                   (above gage zero datum)



...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017



LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            10.1   10.3   10.6   11.3   12.6   14.5   15.4
  HICKSON             20.5   21.0   21.8   24.0   27.3   31.9   33.6
  FARGO               19.6   20.3   20.9   23.5   28.4   32.8   33.7
  HALSTAD             15.6   17.3   20.4   23.6   29.9   34.4   37.4
  GRAND FORKS         27.4   30.5   35.3   38.7   43.0   45.2   48.6
  OSLO                29.0   31.6   33.8   34.5   35.9   36.8   38.2
  DRAYTON             34.4   36.7   39.0   40.6   41.6   42.3   43.5
  PEMBINA             45.7   46.7   48.6   50.4   51.9   52.7   53.5


Minnesota Tribs:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
South Fork Buffalo River.....
  SABIN               11.8   12.3   12.8   13.6   14.4   15.3   15.5
Buffalo River.....
...Table 1--Probabilities for minor...moderate and major flooding
               Valid Period:   02/19/2017 - 05/20/2017

                                         : Current and Historical
                                         :  Chances of Exceeding
                                         :    Flood Categories
                                         :   as s Percentage (%)
                         Categorical     :
                    Flood Stages (FT)    :  Minor   Moderate  Major
Location            Minor   Mod   Major  :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  65  50   21  26    6  13
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  18  20   <5  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  76   37  37   18  22
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  39  33   14  17   <5   9
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 :  94  57   46  32    6  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  63   94  55   24  19
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 : >95  48   83  33   15  11
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 : >95  56  >95  43   72  22
Minnesota Tributaries.....
  SABIN               13.0   15.0   19.0 :  69  47   14  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               8.0    9.0   11.0 :  50  36   22  25   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            13.0   20.0   26.0 :  90  66   21  19   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :  14  18   <5   6   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  77  52   21  21   <5   6
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  31  31   <5  11   <5   6
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  22  23    6  11   <5   7
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  85  46   78  43   55  33
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 : >95  52   12  13    6   8
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   75.0 :  27  14   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  82  19   57  15    9  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 : >95  63  >95  43   30  15
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :  27  19   <5   5   <5  <5
   Note: The Roseau numbers consider the flow thru its diversion
North Dakota Tributaries.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  48  35   33  32    9  19
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  28   8   25   7   17  <5
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :  25   9   13   8   <5   6
  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  56  18   28  10   11   9
  WEST FARGO DVRSN   18.70   20.0   21.0 :  79  21   36  16   28  11
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  36  23   27  21    9  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  40  21   10  10   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  49  30   13  14   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  75  17   38  10   <5  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 : >95  26   30   8   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 : >95  18  >95   6   93  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 :  89  19   11  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 : >95  28  >95  26  >95  19

LEGEND:
    CS  =  Conditional Simulation (Outlook for current conditions)
    HS  =  Historical  Simulation ( "       "  normal  conditions)
    FT  =  Feet                   (above gage zero datum)



...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017



LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            10.1   10.3   10.6   11.3   12.6   14.5   15.4
  HICKSON             20.5   21.0   21.8   24.0   27.3   31.9   33.6
  FARGO               19.6   20.3   20.9   23.5   28.4   32.8   33.7
  HALSTAD             15.6   17.3   20.4   23.6   29.9   34.4   37.4
  GRAND FORKS         27.4   30.5   35.3   38.7   43.0   45.2   48.6
  OSLO                29.0   31.6   33.8   34.5   35.9   36.8   38.2
  DRAYTON             34.4   36.7   39.0   40.6   41.6   42.3   43.5
  PEMBINA             45.7   46.7   48.6   50.4   51.9   52.7   53.5


Minnesota Tribs:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
South Fork Buffalo River.....
  SABIN               11.8   12.3   12.8   13.6   14.4   15.3   15.5
Buffalo River.....
  HAWLEY               6.2    6.5    7.3    8.0    8.8    9.8   10.3
  DILWORTH            12.5   12.9   15.0   18.0   19.5   21.4   22.3
Wild Rice River.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.6    6.0    6.5    7.9    9.2   10.9   11.9
  HENDRUM             15.6   17.8   20.6   22.7   27.4   29.7   31.1
Marsh River.....
  SHELLY               8.7    9.4   10.9   12.2   14.8   18.0   19.1
Sand Hill River.....
  CLIMAX              11.2   11.5   12.0   15.7   19.7   23.1   28.2
Red Lake river.....
  HIGH LANDING        10.6   11.4   12.8   13.0   13.2   13.4   13.6
  CROOKSTON           15.1   15.6   17.1   19.7   21.7   23.7   25.6
Snake River.....
  ABOVE WARREN        64.6   64.8   65.1   66.0   67.1   68.3   70.3
  ALVARADO           105.2  105.7  106.5  108.6  109.3  109.9  110.5
Two Rivers River.....
  HALLOCK            807.2  807.6  808.5  809.1  810.1  811.1  811.9
Roseau River..... considering the flow thru the Roseau diversion.
  ROSEAU              11.8   12.4   13.2   14.5   16.1   16.8   17.1


North Dakota Tribs:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Wild Rice River.....
  ABERCROMBIE          5.3    6.0    7.0    9.5   14.6   18.0   19.6
Sheyenne River.....
  VALLEY CITY         11.5   11.8   12.8   13.7   16.1   17.4   18.1
  LISBON              11.1   11.5   12.4   12.9   15.0   17.7   18.5
  KINDRED             13.6   14.0   15.4   16.4   19.5   20.6   21.1
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    16.4   16.4   18.2   18.5   21.2   22.9   23.2
  HARWOOD            878.3  879.0  880.0  883.1  886.7  890.5  892.0
Maple River.....
  ENDERLIN             6.6    6.9    8.5    9.2   10.3   12.0   13.5
  MAPLETON           899.4  900.2  902.9  904.9  906.8  908.3  909.2
Goose River.....
  HILLSBORO            6.7    8.5    9.9   12.3   13.8   15.2   15.9
Forest River.....
  MINTO                6.3    6.8    7.1    7.6    8.0    8.6    8.9
Park River.....
  GRAFTON             14.3   15.1   15.9   17.2   18.6   19.3   20.0
Pembina River.....
  WALHALLA            10.6   10.8   12.2   13.4   14.7   16.0   16.3
  NECHE               20.7   20.8   21.4   21.4   21.5   21.6   21.7

  HAWLEY               6.2    6.5    7.3    8.0    8.8    9.8   10.3
  DILWORTH            12.5   12.9   15.0   18.0   19.5   21.4   22.3
Wild Rice River.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.6    6.0    6.5    7.9    9.2   10.9   11.9
  HENDRUM             15.6   17.8   20.6   22.7   27.4   29.7   31.1
Marsh River.....
  SHELLY               8.7    9.4   10.9   12.2   14.8   18.0   19.1
Sand Hill River.....
  CLIMAX              11.2   11.5   12.0   15.7   19.7   23.1   28.2
Red Lake river.....
  HIGH LANDING        10.6   11.4   12.8   13.0   13.2   13.4   13.6
  CROOKSTON           15.1   15.6   17.1   19.7   21.7   23.7   25.6
Snake River.....
  ABOVE WARREN        64.6   64.8   65.1   66.0   67.1   68.3   70.3
  ALVARADO           105.2  105.7  106.5  108.6  109.3  109.9  110.5
Two Rivers River.....
  HALLOCK            807.2  807.6  808.5  809.1  810.1  811.1  811.9
Roseau River..... considering the flow thru the Roseau diversion.
  ROSEAU              11.8   12.4   13.2   14.5   16.1   16.8   17.1


North Dakota Tribs:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Wild Rice River.....
  ABERCROMBIE          5.3    6.0    7.0    9.5   14.6   18.0   19.6
Sheyenne River.....
  VALLEY CITY         11.5   11.8   12.8   13.7   16.1   17.4   18.1
  LISBON              11.1   11.5   12.4   12.9   15.0   17.7   18.5
  KINDRED             13.6   14.0   15.4   16.4   19.5   20.6   21.1
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    16.4   16.4   18.2   18.5   21.2   22.9   23.2
  HARWOOD            878.3  879.0  880.0  883.1  886.7  890.5  892.0
Maple River.....
  ENDERLIN             6.6    6.9    8.5    9.2   10.3   12.0   13.5
  MAPLETON           899.4  900.2  902.9  904.9  906.8  908.3  909.2
Goose River.....
  HILLSBORO            6.7    8.5    9.9   12.3   13.8   15.2   15.9
Forest River.....
  MINTO                6.3    6.8    7.1    7.6    8.0    8.6    8.9
Park River.....
  GRAFTON             14.3   15.1   15.9   17.2   18.6   19.3   20.0
Pembina River.....
  WALHALLA            10.6   10.8   12.2   13.4   14.7   16.0   16.3
  NECHE               20.7   20.8   21.4   21.4   21.5   21.6   21.7

 * SHORT TERM WEATHER FORECAST (and Riverine Response)...
   - A prolonged late winter thaw is expected to continue through
this weekend and into early next week. Temperatures are expected to
rise well above freezing for several hours each day... with
temperatures remaining above freezing for at least a couple of
nights. In addition, widespread light rain is expected to move across
the region from Sunday night into Monday.

   - In the South Basin (Halstad and points south)... widespread
snowmelt and melt water runoff is expected to develop across the
southern valley early in this period. A largely snow-free landscape
there will help to increase overall warming and allow remaining
snowmelt runoff to move from local ditch networks into larger streams
and tributaries.
      -- Expect areas of open water flow to develop in the lower
Sheyenne, lower Maple and the Wild Rice Rivers in southeast North
Dakota.
      -- Likewise, expect the Rabbit and Ottertail Rivers in west
central Minnesota and the Buffalo River, north and south branches,
to develop areas of open water flow in Wilkin and Clay Counties.
      -- The Red River south of Fargo could see small patches of
open water developing by early next week.

   - In the Central Basin (Halstad through Grand Forks)...
widespread snowmelt and melt water runoff is also expected in the
central portions of the Red River Basin. However... remaining
snowpack will reduce the rate of warming and melt water runoff.
Through the middle of next week... large expanses of farmland will
become snow-free with most of the runoff parking in area ditch
networks and smaller streams. Only limited, localized runoff is
expected to advance into tributaries and the main stem Red River.
       -- The Elm, Goose, Wild Rice (MN), and the Sandhill Rivers
could see half or more of their runoff reaching those tributaries.
       -- The Red River should see slight rises due to increased flow
from the south, yet remain largely ice-covered.

   - In the North Basin (north of Grand Forks to the border)...
snowmelt will lead to further compaction of the snow mass and patchy
areas of open ground. Most melt water will remain either in the
snowpack or at the top of the soil.
       -- Melt water may pool on top of ice in streams and rivers.
       -- Open water river flow is not expected.


 * SPRING SEASON CLIMATE OUTLOOK...
    - The NWS Climate Prediction Center continues to expect a March
       through May period of slightly below normal temperatures
        combined with a slightly above normal precipitation regime.
         National Climate details are at:
                                          www.cpc.noaa.gov

. NEXT SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK...

  The second spring flood outlook for this year will be issued on the
   morning of Thursday, March 2nd of 2017, when the accompanying
    graphics will be posted to the NWS FGF AHPS web page at:

     https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=FGF

  This is the best estimate at this time applying 60 plus years
   of past weather to current basin conditions. These estimates
    will be recomputed for the next spring flood outlook, so the
     numbers will change as hydrologic conditions in the Red
      River basin change and the span of the valid period changes.

. FLOOD OUTLOOK PROBABILITIES TABLES...

The following message has two sections...the first gives the
 current and normal/historical chances of river locations reaching
  their Minor...Moderate...and Major Flood Category...the second
   gives the current chances of river locations rising above river
    stages listed.


...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by Flood Category...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017

In Table 1 below...the current (CS) and historical (HS) or normal
 probabilities of exceeding minor...moderate...and major flood stages
 are listed for the valid time period.

CS values indicate the probability of reaching a flood category
 based on current conditions.

HS values indicate the probability of reaching a flood category
 based on historical or normal conditions.

When the value of CS is more than HS...the probability of
 exceeding tat level is higher than normal. When the value of CS is
 less than HS...the probability of exceeding that level is lower
 than normal

...Table 1--Probabilities for minor...moderate and major flooding
               Valid Period:   02/19/2017 - 05/20/2017

                                         : Current and Historical
                                         :  Chances of Exceeding
                                         :    Flood Categories
                                         :   as s Percentage (%)
                         Categorical     :
                      Flood Stages (FT)  :  Minor   Moderate  Major
Location            Minor    Mod   Major :  CS HS    CS HS    CS HS
--------            ------ ------ ------ : --- ---  --- ---  --- ---
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            11.0   13.0   15.0 :  70  50   22  26    7  13
  HICKSON             30.0   34.0   38.0 :  20  20   <5  10   <5  <5
  FARGO               18.0   25.0   30.0 : >95  76   39  37   21  22
  HALSTAD             26.0   32.0   37.5 :  47  33   24  17    6   9
  GRAND FORKS         28.0   40.0   46.0 : >95  57   62  32   16  10
  OSLO                26.0   30.0   36.0 : >95  63  >95  55   38  19
  DRAYTON             32.0   38.0   42.0 : >95  48  >95  33   28  11
  PEMBINA             39.0   44.0   49.0 : >95  56  >95  43   88  22
Minnesota Tributaries.....
  SABIN               13.0   15.0   19.0 :  69  47   14  13   <5  <5
  HAWLEY               8.0    9.0   11.0 :  50  36   22  25   <5  <5
  DILWORTH            13.0   20.0   26.0 :  90  66   21  19   <5  <5
  TWIN VALLEY         10.0   12.0   14.0 :  14  18   <5   6   <5  <5
  HENDRUM             20.0   28.0   32.0 :  77  52   21  21   <5   6
  SHELLY              14.0   20.0   23.0 :  31  31   <5  11   <5   6
  CLIMAX              20.0   25.0   30.0 :  22  23    6  11   <5   7
  HIGH LANDING        12.0   12.5   13.0 :  85  46   78  43   55  33
  CROOKSTON           15.0   23.0   25.0 : >95  52   12  13    6   8
  ABOVE WARREN        67.0   71.0   75.0 :  27  14   <5  <5   <5  <5
  ALVARADO           106.0  108.0  110.0 :  82  19   57  15    9  <5
  HALLOCK            802.0  806.0  810.0 : >95  63  >95  43   30  15
  ROSEAU              16.0   18.0   19.0 :  27  19   <5   5   <5  <5
   Note: The Roseau numbers consider the flow thru its diversion
North Dakota Tributaries.....
  ABERCROMBIE         10.0   12.0   18.0 :  50  35   37  32   13  19
  VALLEY CITY         15.0   16.0   17.0 :  39   8   35   7   26  <5
  LISBON              15.0   17.0   19.0 :  37   9   27   8   15   6
  KINDRED             16.0   19.0   20.5 :  85  18   42  10   24   9
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    18.0   20.0   21.0 :  90  21   54  16   39  11
  HARWOOD            884.0  886.0  891.0 :  55  23   43  21   12  10
  ENDERLIN             9.5   12.0   14.0 :  67  21   16  10   <5  <5
  MAPLETON           905.0  908.0  910.0 :  70  30   18  14   <5  <5
  HILLSBORO           10.0   13.0   16.0 :  86  17   57  10    7  <5
  MINTO                6.0    8.0   11.0 : >95  26   41   8   <5  <5
  GRAFTON             12.0   13.5   14.5 : >95  18  >95   6   93  <5
  WALHALLA            11.0   16.0   18.0 : >95  19   13  <5   <5  <5
  NECHE               18.0   19.0   20.5 : >95  28  >95  26  >95  19

LEGEND:
    CS  =  Conditional Simulation (Outlook for current conditions)
    HS  =  Historical  Simulation ( "       "  normal  conditions)
    FT  =  Feet                   (above gage zero datum)



...Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage...

            Valid from February 19, 2017  to May 20, 2017



LOCATION              95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Red River of the North.....
  WAHPETON            10.3   10.5   10.8   11.5   12.7   14.6   15.5
  HICKSON             20.9   21.5   22.4   24.6   27.6   32.2   33.8
  FARGO               20.0   20.8   21.5   23.8   29.0   33.2   34.0
  HALSTAD             16.3   18.9   22.0   25.8   31.7   35.8   38.1
  GRAND FORKS         31.7   34.0   38.9   40.8   44.4   47.2   49.7
  OSLO                32.4   33.5   34.5   35.2   36.5   37.6   38.7
  DRAYTON             38.1   38.9   40.2   41.2   42.2   42.9   43.9
  PEMBINA             47.7   48.7   50.1   51.5   52.6   53.4   53.9


Minnesota Tribs:      95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
South Fork Buffalo River.....
  SABIN               11.8   12.3   12.8   13.6   14.4   15.3   15.5
Buffalo River.....
  HAWLEY               6.2    6.5    7.3    8.0    8.8    9.8   10.3
  DILWORTH            12.5   12.9   15.0   18.0   19.5   21.4   22.3
Wild Rice River.....
  TWIN VALLEY          5.6    6.0    6.5    7.9    9.2   10.9   11.9
  HENDRUM             15.6   17.8   20.6   22.7   27.4   29.7   31.1
Marsh River.....
  SHELLY               8.7    9.4   10.9   12.2   14.8   18.0   19.1
Sand Hill River.....
  CLIMAX              11.2   11.5   12.0   15.7   19.7   23.1   28.2
Red Lake river.....
  HIGH LANDING        10.6   11.4   12.8   13.0   13.2   13.4   13.6
  CROOKSTON           15.1   15.6   17.1   19.7   21.7   23.7   25.6
Snake River.....
  ABOVE WARREN        64.6   64.8   65.1   66.0   67.1   68.3   70.3
  ALVARADO           105.2  105.7  106.5  108.6  109.3  109.9  110.5
Two Rivers River.....
  HALLOCK            807.2  807.6  808.5  809.1  810.1  811.1  811.9
Roseau River..... considering the flow thru the Roseau diversion.
  ROSEAU              11.8   12.4   13.2   14.5   16.1   16.8   17.1


North Dakota Tribs:   95%    90%    75%    50%    25%    10%    05%
--------            ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
Wild Rice River.....
  ABERCROMBIE          5.7    6.4    7.5   10.1   15.2   18.4   20.1
Sheyenne River.....
  VALLEY CITY         11.9   12.6   13.4   14.2   17.5   19.8   20.6
  LISBON              11.5   12.3   13.1   13.9   17.2   19.7   20.5
  KINDRED             14.3   15.3   16.5   18.0   20.5   21.1   21.1
  WEST FARGO DVRSN    16.6   17.9   18.5   20.4   22.8   23.1   23.2
  HARWOOD            879.6  880.1  881.2  884.6  889.3  891.2  892.1
Maple River.....
  ENDERLIN             7.4    7.8    9.2    9.9   11.2   12.4   13.6
  MAPLETON           900.8  901.9  904.6  906.1  907.6  908.6  909.4
Goose River.....
  HILLSBORO            8.3    9.2   11.2   13.6   14.1   15.7   16.3
Forest River.....
  MINTO                6.5    7.0    7.4    7.9    8.4    9.0    9.2
Park River.....
  GRAFTON             14.3   15.1   15.9   17.2   18.6   19.3   20.0
Pembina River.....
  WALHALLA            11.8   12.0   13.2   14.3   15.2   16.4   16.6
  NECHE               20.7   20.8   21.4   21.4   21.5   21.6   21.7

.THE OUTLOOK PRODUCTION PROCESS...

This long range probabilistic outlook is based on a series of peak
 river levels or crests taken from the forecast hydrograph results
 of the NWS Community Hydrologic Prediction System (CHPS). The model
 is run for multiple scenarios starting at current river, low and
 soil conditions and using over 60 years of past precipitation and
 temperature conditions that were experienced for those past years
 during the time-frame of the outlook period. These crests can then
 be ranked from lowest to highest, and then be assigned an
 exceedance probability. For example, For a series of 50 years, the
 lowest ranked crest has 49 crests above it and since 95 percent
 of the crests are above it, it is assigned a 95 percent probability
 of exceedance (POE).

A YouTube video on "How to Interpret River Outlook Products" is at:

         www.youtube.com/watch?v=pSoEgvsnpv4

The probabilities can be used for risk management by using them as
 an indication of the range of crests that may be expected during
 the valid period of the outlook.

By providing a range of peak river level probabilities, the NWS is
 contributing to the area`s Decision Support Services that help
 with long-range flood planning and response readiness. This outlook
 is a part of NOAA/S National Weather Service`s AHPS (Advanced
 Hydrologic Prediction Services).

This outlook was produced using precipitation and temperatures
 for the years 1949 through 2012.

. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SOURCES...

The AHPS Long-Range Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlooks are issued
 each month typically between the first and second Friday after
 mid-month. However...Spring Flood and Water Resources Outlooks are
 issued several times during the critical spring melt period...
 usually on Thursdays beginning in late February or early March and
 ending in early April...depending on the spring flooding conditions.

This outlook is also presented as graphs of the probability of stage
 exceedance for the full period and for weekly intervals during the
 period. These graphs...together with explanations that help in
 interpreting them are available from the NWS Grand Forks AHPS web
 page on the Internet at:
7
        www.weather.gov/grandforks OR weather.gov/fgf

  Then click on the "Rivers and Lakes" on the tab above the map.

Current river conditions for all river forecast points in the Red
 River of the North and Devils/Stump Lake conditions are also
  available on our web site...as well as the 7-day forecasts when
   the river at the forecast point is in or near flood.

If you have any questions...contact the NWS at 701-772-0720.

Also...7-day deterministic forecasts will be issued at least once a
 day when the river forecast locations will be in flood during that
  period.

Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlooks will be issued monthly throughout
 the rest of the year during the later part of the month or as
  conditions warrant.

Refer to the separate Devils Lake Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlook
 for Devils and Stump Lakes Probability of Exceedance levels and
  low-water non-exceedance levels.

You can follow us on Facebook at: www.facebook.com/NWSGrandForks
 and on Twitter at: @NWSGrandForks.

$$

www.weather.gov/fgf

NNNN



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