Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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000
FNUS73 KFGF 221034
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for MNDK Rx Training...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
534 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

A changeable day, especially with respect to wind direction.  Starting
off today with a south to southwest wind thru late morning, then
as a surface trough moves through winds will turn west this
afternoon into tonight. West winds 20-25 mph this afternoon with
potential for wind gusts 30 mph.

A few showers late tonight/Tuesday morning, then windy and cooler
Tuesday with northwest-north winds to 30 mph.



.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    west with gusts to around 23 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......9800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Southwest around 15 mph increasing to west 25
                    to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....24600 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 105300 knot-ft in the afternoon increasing
                    to (161300 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  86  86  87  61  55  56  24
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  52  55  58  60  62  64  64
RH..............54  49  45  41  38  35  27  25
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15
20 FT wind gust.16  16  15  16  18  22  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.3 2.7 3.8 5.5 7.7 9.0 9.8
Mixing wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Mixing wind spd.15  15  15  20  20  25  30  30
Vrate kt-ft/1K..25  30  33  60  105 162 219 248

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 25 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....(241400 knot-ft) decreasing to 22200 knot-ft
                    early in the evening decreasing to 7200 knot-ft
                    late in the night.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........24     37     49     50     56     66
Weather cov.....                                   S CHC
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Temp............63     59     52     50     46     45
RH..............27     32     44     52     65     75
20 ft wind......W 20   W 15   W 10   W 10   W 10   W 10
20 ft wind gust.23     21     19     16     16     20
Mix hgt (ft)....9600   1200   700    700    700    900
Mixing wind.....W 30   W 20   W 15   W 15   W 15   W 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..251    22     8      10     8      14

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph shifting to the
                    north in the afternoon. Gusts up to 31 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 20 to 25 mph shifting to the north
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....20700 knot-ft early in the morning increasing
                    to 86300 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........76        84        77        53
Weather cov.....S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............43        43        46        50
RH..............82        88        71        50
20 FT wind......NW 15G21  NW 20G26  N 20G27   N 20G23
Mix hgt (ft)....1300      1800      2600      3900
Mixing wind.....NW 20     N 25      N 30      N 25
Vrate kt-ft/1K..23        43        63        82

$$
Forecaster...DR
Requested by...Eric Hoff
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411675.0/FGF
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ehoff@tnc.org


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