Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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688 FXUS65 KFGZ 282326 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 426 PM MST Sun Apr 28 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry conditions are expected through the week with breezy afternoon winds. Low pressure passes to the north of the area on Thursday, causing temperatures to cool slighty but they rebound nicely heading into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION...The trough continues to push off to the east, leaving us with much drier and warming conditions. As we go through the week, we will see a much more zonal flow across the region. This will allow for temperatures to warm each day, becoming around 5-10 degrees above the seasonal averages by midweek. Nighttime temps will be on the cool side though as we should have mostly clear skies. Winds will kick up each afternoon with gusts between 20-30 mph across the forecast area. Winds will become light and variable overnight. The light winds and clear skies combined with the dry conditions will allow for good radiational cooling to take place. The only exception is a trough that dips down from the north on Thursday. This trough remains mostly off to the north of the region and does not have a ton of moisture associated with it. So aside from an increase in some cloud cover and slightly cooler temperatures, we won`t really even notice its passage. Overall, looks to be a fairly quiet weather week for the region. && .AVIATION...Monday 29/00Z through Tuesday 30/00Z...VFR continues with light winds overnight. SW winds 10-20 kts after 17Z/Mon. OUTLOOK...Tuesday 30/00Z through Thursday 02/00Z...VFR conditions with SW winds 10-20 kts on Tuesday, increasing to 15-25 kts on Wednesday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Monday and Tuesday...Dry and mild. Afternoon southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph each day. Minimum RH values generally 10 to 25 percent with solid recoveries overnight. Wednesday through Friday...Even drier with gusty winds at times. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph on Wednesday may gust to 40 mph in the afternoon. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph on Thursday may gust to 30 mph in the afternoon. Lighter winds from the southwest are forecast on Friday. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Meola AVIATION...Meola FIRE WEATHER...Benji For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff