Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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688
FXUS65 KFGZ 282326
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
426 PM MST Sun Apr 28 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Warm and dry conditions are expected through the week
with breezy afternoon winds. Low pressure passes to the north of
the area on Thursday, causing temperatures to cool slighty but
they rebound nicely heading into the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...The trough continues to push off to the east, leaving
us with much drier and warming conditions. As we go through the
week, we will see a much more zonal flow across the region. This
will allow for temperatures to warm each day, becoming around 5-10
degrees above the seasonal averages by midweek. Nighttime temps will
be on the cool side though as we should have mostly clear skies.
Winds will kick up each afternoon with gusts between 20-30 mph
across the forecast area. Winds will become light and variable
overnight. The light winds and clear skies combined with the dry
conditions will allow for good radiational cooling to take place.

The only exception is a trough that dips down from the north on
Thursday. This trough remains mostly off to the north of the region
and does not have a ton of moisture associated with it. So aside
from an increase in some cloud cover and slightly cooler
temperatures, we won`t really even notice its passage.

Overall, looks to be a fairly quiet weather week for the region.

&&

.AVIATION...Monday 29/00Z through Tuesday 30/00Z...VFR continues
with light winds overnight. SW winds 10-20 kts after 17Z/Mon.

OUTLOOK...Tuesday 30/00Z through Thursday 02/00Z...VFR conditions
with SW winds 10-20 kts on Tuesday, increasing to 15-25 kts on
Wednesday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Monday and Tuesday...Dry and mild. Afternoon
southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph each day. Minimum RH values
generally 10 to 25 percent with solid recoveries overnight.

Wednesday through Friday...Even drier with gusty winds at times.
Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph on Wednesday may gust to 40 mph in the
afternoon. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph on Thursday may gust to 30
mph in the afternoon. Lighter winds from the southwest are forecast
on Friday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Meola
AVIATION...Meola
FIRE WEATHER...Benji

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff