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000
FXUS64 KJAN 221514
AFDJAN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1014 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New MESOSCALE UPDATE...

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Issued at 1012 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

A surface high will continue to move eastwards into the CWA this
morning, allowing for clear and dry conditions across the region
today with a calm N/NE wind. Highs will well below normal, with
temperatures in the middle 60s to lower 70s./AJ/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 413 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Today and Tonight:

AS an upper-level shortwave trough pushes east of the forecast area
today, rising mid-level heights and subsidence aloft will support
continued clear skies. Temps in the post-frontal cool air mass will
still be around 10 degrees cooler than normal, but weather should be
pleasant with generally light winds as a surface high slides across
the area. Low RH with this high will also add to the pleasant
conditions today. With light low-level winds and good radiational
cooling conditions tonight, Min Temps were nudged a little cooler
than guidance in the core axis of the surface high. /NF/

Tuesday-Sunday:

Quiet conditions are expected to start the forecast period as a
surface high pressure centers over Georgia. Temperatures will be
near seasonal before undergoing a warming trend during the mid-week.

By Wednesday, a weak cold front is expected to move across northern
portions of the CWA. Models are varying with precipitation
associated with the aforementioned frontal boundary and keeping
majority of rain chances to the west of the area. However, isolated
showers can`t be ruled out for northern counties on Wednesday and
Thursday as PW values are around 1.3 in and uncertainty remains
with this system. A gradually warming trend will begin to take
place, bringing mid-week high temperatures to the upper 70s to mid
80s. In addition to warmer temperatures, moisture is expected to
return ahead of the next disturbance due to southerly flow.

Heading into the weekend, another cold front will begin to approach
the area, resulting in rain chances throughout the weekend. Although
rain chances are forecasted, the warming trend is expected to
continue into the weekend with high temperatures reaching the mid to
upper 80s through the end of the period. /SW/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 653 AM CDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions with winds generally lighter than 10 kts expected
through the period at all sites. Winds may at times be variable in
direction with high pressure moving over the region. /NF/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       68  43  75  54 /   0   0   0   0
Meridian      69  40  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
Vicksburg     69  42  75  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hattiesburg   70  42  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Natchez       69  42  76  53 /   0   0   0   0
Greenville    66  45  73  58 /   0   0   0   0
Greenwood     68  44  74  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AJ/SW/NF