Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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007
ACUS11 KWNS 032328
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032327
TXZ000-040130-
Mesoscale Discussion 0619
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CDT Fri May 03 2024
Areas affected...the Transpecos region of western Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179...
Valid 032327Z - 040130Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 179
continues.
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms continue to pose a risk for very
large hail and damaging wind gusts over portions of the Transpecos
region of western Texas.
DISCUSSION...Modest low-level moisture is indicated across parts of
the Transpecos region east of the dryline, which is supporting 1000
to 2000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE. This has been sufficient -- in
tandem with the veering winds with height/ample shear across this
region -- to support development of isolated supercell storms
roughly along the Pecos Valley area.
The two most prominent storms -- one in eastern Pecos County and the
other near the Terrell/Crockett County line -- continue to exhibit
radar indications of very large hail production. Locally damaging
wind gusts are also possible with these storms, given the relatively
deep mixed layer. Storms will likely continue over the next couple
of hours, with potential for additional/isolated updraft
development.
..Goss.. 05/03/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 29890213 30700250 31540239 31650123 30680070 29220026
28750043 29190094 29890213