170
FNUS74 KMOB 272016
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...National Park Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
316 PM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on April 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy southeasterly surface winds up to around 20 mph,
and moderate southeasterly transport winds mostly ranging from 20 to
30 mph are expected over the burn site through Sunday. It will remain
dry with minimum relative humidity remaining well elevated.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 18 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...457 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 24 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 11 meters/second.
Dispersion index....61.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
LAL.............1   1
Temp............77  76
RH..............71  71
20 FT wind dir..ESE SE
20 FT wind spd..21  21
20 FT wind gust.29  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE
Transp wind spd.24  24
Trans wind dir..SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).11  11
Dispersion idx..61  61
LVORI...........2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 12 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 16 to 23 mph increasing to 26 to 29
                    mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 13 meters/second increasing to
                    12 to 13 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....61 decreasing to 12 late in the evening, then
                    increasing to 24 after 3 am.
LVORI...............2 becoming 4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........55  53  50  46  43  38  32  27  21  15  9   15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  73  73  73  73  73  73  73  73  73  73  71
RH..............71  79  79  79  79  79  81  81  81  79  79  84
20 FT wind dir..SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE
20 FT wind spd..20  16  14  13  13  13  14  15  17  21  23  24
20 FT wind gust.28  22  20  18  16  17  18  20  23  28  31  31
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE
Transp wind spd.23  21  18  17  16  16  16  18  23  26  28  29
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).10  9   8   8   7   7   7   8   10  12  13  13
Dispersion idx..61  18  15  13  12  12  12  14  17  21  23  24
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 17 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 29 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 13 meters/second.
Dispersion index....24 increasing to 44 early in the morning
                    increasing to 68 around noon, then decreasing
                    to 58 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 becoming 2.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  26  33  40  47  46  46  45  36  28  19  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............71  73  73  74  76  77  76  77  77  77  76  76
RH..............87  81  81  79  74  71  76  74  74  74  76  76
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..24  24  24  24  23  22  22  21  21  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.31  31  31  30  30  29  28  26  26  25  25  23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.29  29  29  28  26  26  25  23  22  22  21  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).13  13  13  13  12  12  11  10  10  10  9   9
Dispersion idx..24  44  69  71  65  67  66  65  64  61  58  58
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.3/MOB
.DELDT 04/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov