000
FNUS74 KMOB 191102
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 6509 SW...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
602 AM CDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today with scattered
showers and storms over a portion of the area following for
Saturday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above
critical levels today and Saturday. Transport winds will be
mostly southwesterly to westerly today and easterly to northerly
on Saturday. Dispersion index values will be fair to generally
good today and generally poor to fair on Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy to areas of fog are
expected tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...792-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 48.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  49  31  32  27  26  30  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  80  82  85  87  88  89  88
RH..............82  69  63  55  50  48  45  48
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   7   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 3.1 4.1 4.7 5.3 5.8 5.9 5.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.WSW WSW WSW SW  SW  WSW WSW SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9
Trans wind dir..WSW WSW WSW SW  SW  WSW WSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..13  19  29  38  46  49  50  50
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1798 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....50 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........33     36     40     51     61     65
Weather cov.....                            PATCHY PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............86     77     71     69     69     67
RH..............53     71     90     93     97     100
20 FT wind dir..SSW    S      S      SSW    SW     WSW
20 FT wind spd..7      6      5      3      3      2
20 FT wind gust.10     8      7      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....5900   800    800    900    500    800
Mix hgt (m).....1800   240    240    270    150    240
Transp wind dir.SSW    S      S      S      SW     WSW
Transp wind spd.9      10     8      7      6      6
Trans wind dir..SSW    S      S      S      SW     WSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      3      3      3
Dispersion idx..50     4      4      3      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      7      8      9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Slight chance of showers late
                    in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms
                    in the late morning and afternoon. Chance of
                    showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1000, then 2.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274-792 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the southeast in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 2 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 4 meters/second in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........73     74     77     83     81     73
Weather cov.....PATCHY        S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....FOG    NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      20     20     40     40
LAL.............1      1      2      2      2      2
Temp............67     69     77     83     83     82
RH..............100    97     79     65     63     65
20 FT wind dir..NW     N      NNE    NE     ENE    E
20 FT wind spd..1      2      3      5      6      7
20 FT wind gust.2      3      6      7      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1000   1600   2300   2500   2400
Mix hgt (m).....270    300    490    700    760    730
Transp wind dir.WSW    NNW    NE     ENE    ESE    SSE
Transp wind spd.5      5      5      7      8      10
Trans wind dir..WSW    NNW    NE     ENE    ESE    SSE
Trans spd (m/s).2      2      2      3      4      4
Dispersion idx..2      7      11     17     22     25
LVORI...........9      7      4      3      2      2

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411167.3/MOB
.DELDT 04/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov