National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FNUS73 KMPX 211310
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Peaslee Rx...NPS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
810 AM CDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...West winds 10 to 15 mph may occasionally gust to 20 mph
this afternoon. RH is expected to drop into the mid 20s by late
in the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........37 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................67 percent at ignition...Min 24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southwest winds around 7
                    mph shifting to the west 10 to 13 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /15200 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /106100 knot-ft/ increasing to
                    excellent (120600 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  43  50  54  55  58  60  61  61  60  58  54
RH..............67  55  42  35  32  28  26  24  24  24  27  32
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..7   10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  10  9   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  16  17  20  20  20  20  17  16  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 2.0 4.7 6.2 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.4 0.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.14  15  18  20  21  21  21  20  20  17  10  9
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 3 am.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 6 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (96300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to
                    13 mph late in the evening.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers late in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 66.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 15 mph increasing to 16 to 18
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (84800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to good (40700 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to excellent
                    (111900 knot-ft) in the afternoon in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph shifting to the southwest 21
                    to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Brandon Ramirez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411582.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brandon_Ramirez@nps.gov