Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 280705
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
205 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

...New LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 103 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

The main concern in the short term forecast will be the potential
for strong (marginally severe) thunderstorms for areas generally
east of an Abilene to Junction line. As mentioned in previous
discussions, an upper level shortwave is making its way through
the area. And although there is limited moisture available, lift
and cold temperatures aloft are expected to result in isolated to
scattered thunderstorms for our eastern counties. Short range CAMs
continue to show the best coverage and most intense storms just
east of our area. Storms are expected to develop by 4 or 5 PM this
afternoon. Most of the activity, with the exception of a few
lingering showers, should be east of our forecast area by 8 PM.

A weak cold front will move through behind the trough this
evening turning winds to the north at 10 mph or less. Lows will
range from the upper 30s in our northwestern counties to the lower
40s for southern and eastern areas. For Thursday, dry weather is
expected with continued warming, as highs get into the mid and
upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 204 AM CDT Thu Mar 28 2024

A gradual warming trend will continue through the weekend, with
weak ridging and generally zonal flow across the area, followed
by an approaching upper-level trough from the west to kick off the
workweek next week. High temperatures are expected to reach into
the mid 80s to low 90s this Sunday across West Central Texas, with
the next cold front tracking through the area late Monday through
Tuesday. This front will drop overnight low temperatures Monday
night into Tuesday morning into the mid 40s to mid 50s, and
Tuesday and Wednesday`s highs only reaching into the mid 60s to
mid 70s. Precipitation chances will also increase with the passing
of this front, with showers and thunderstorms possible across much
of the area and heaviest amounts expected across the eastern
portions of the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1112 PM CDT Wed Mar 27 2024

Light and variable winds this morning will become south and
increase to 10 to 12 knots, with higher gusts, by late morning or
early afternoon. Expect winds to decrease this evening. Patchy
areas of fog may develop toward daybreak across our eastern
counties. Most of the fog should remain to the east of KBBD and
KABI, so have left a mention out of the TAFs at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     76  55  79  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  79  54  80  56 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    80  53  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   74  52  77  56 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  76  56  79  58 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       76  52  78  55 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       76  53  77  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...Daniels


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