National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office

• Home
• Site Map
• News
• Organization
• Search for: NWS All NOAA 

000
FXUS64 KSJT 121055
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
555 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

High pressure continues to build across the area today, continuing
the warming trend that is expected to continue for the next few
days. High temperatures today will reach into the 80s again, with
breezy southerly winds and dry conditions across much of the area.
Elevated to near critical Fire Weather conditions are expected
today, mainly across the southwestern portions of our area through
early this evening. Southerly winds will range from 15 to 20 mph
today with some gusts up to 35 mph, then tapper off this evening
to about 10 to 15 mph. Overnight lows are expected to only fall
into the mid to upper 50s tonight, with increasing clouds across
much of the area.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 224 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

Expect very warm and dry weather this weekend due to low level
southwest flow and warming 850 MB temperatures. Highs will be in
the mid to upper 80s Friday and Saturday and a few degrees warmer
Sunday with highs in the upper 80s to near 95. The weather gets
more active early next week with severe weather possible late
Monday afternoon and evening. A strong upper level disturbance,
with a negative tilt/strong mid level jet streak, will rotate out
to the northeast across the Southern and Central Plains Monday
afternoon and night. At the surface, will see a spring like
pattern across the Southern Plains on 12Z Monday with southerly
flow(wind gusts 35 to 40 mph possible) across our area to the east
of a dryline. The combination of moderate/strong instability,
surface dewpoints in the lower to mid 60s and the dryline moving
east will result in isolated to scattered thunderstorms developing
during the late afternoon and evening. A few storms may be severe
with strong vertical wind shear in the area. The SPC Day 5
outlook has a 15% probability for severe across the northern half
of west central Texas and 30% area over the northern 1/3 of the
Big Country with a few supercells possible.

For Tuesday, the storm system exits the area with breezy conditions
and highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Looks like a hot day Wednesday as
the 850 MB thermal ridge will be over our area. Highs will be in
the lower to mid 90s. The weather get more unsettled by Thursday
as a cold front moves south and a chance of showers and
thunderstorms.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 AM CDT Fri Apr 12 2024

VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next
24 hours. South winds will gradually increase and become gusty
generally around 15Z this morning, with gusts as high as 25 to 30
knots into the afternoon hours. Breezy southerly winds will remain
in place through later this evening before gradually diminishing.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     84  59  87  61 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  85  57  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    86  57  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   81  54  84  59 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  84  59  87  62 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       81  57  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       81  57  84  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...TP