Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FNUS74 KSJT 171332
FWSSJT

Spot Forecast for Muse WMA - brush piles...TPWD
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
832 AM CDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 17.
Please contact our office at 325-944-3030 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fire weather conditions will be rather low today with south winds
around 10 mph this morning, with some gusts near 18 mph possible
this afternoon. Temperatures will be above normal this afternoon,
with highs in the lower 90s. Expect a minimum RH around 50 percent
this afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms may develop late this afternoon
into the early evening hours, but the chance for precipitation is
less than 20 percent. Hot and dry conditions will continue again on
Thursday afternoon ahead of a cold front, but wind speeds will
remain light.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 13 mph.
Mixing Height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....South 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (57600 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).............78     86     88     80     65
Weather cov.........                            S CHC
Weather type........None   None   None   None   RnShwr
Tstm cov............                            S CHC
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1
Temp................68     75     81     83     83
RH..................93     82     65     57     55
20 FT wind dir......SW     S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd......9      9      10     11     12
20 FT wind gust.....12     13     14     15     17
Mix hgt (ft)........1000   1800   2700   3600   4300
Transport wind......S 13   S 13   S 14   S 15   S 17
Haines index........6      6      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 13 to 14 mph.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....South 16 to 20 mph.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (9300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).............69     67     45     55     75     60
Weather cov.........S CHC  S CHC
Weather type........RnShwr RnShwr None   None   None   None
Tstm cov............S CHC  S CHC
LAL.................1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp................83     75     71     69     68     67
RH..................55     71     84     93     97     97
20 FT wind dir......S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT wind spd......13     12     14     12     12     13
20 FT wind gust.....18     15     18     17     17     15
Mix hgt (ft)........3300   600    500    600    600    700
Transport wind......S 20   S 16   S 17   S 17   S 20   S 17
Haines index........5      5      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 9-15 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing Height.......7000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds....Southwest 13 to 21 mph decreasing to around 10
                   mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (54800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............57     57     57     27     16     16
Weather cov.........                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type........None   None   None   None   RnShwr RnShwr
Tstm cov............                            CHANCE CHANCE
LAL.................1      1      1      1      3      3
Temp................66     67     74     82     87     90
RH..................100    97     87     71     56     44
20 FT wind dir......S      SW     SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT wind spd......12     13     13     13     11     9
20 FT wind gust.....15     15     17     17     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)........600    700    1500   3000   5000   7000
Transport wind......S 16   SW 16  SW 21  SW 17  SW 15  SW 10
Haines index........5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
Forecaster...WINGENROTH
Requested by...Wesley Evans
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411216.0/SJT
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wesley.evans@tpwd.texas.gov


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