Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KBTV 290745
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT FRI APR 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN QUEBEC AND ONTARIO
WILL MAINTAIN TRANQUIL AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES
MODERATE SOMEWHAT INTO THE MID 50S FOR HIGHS TODAY...AND INTO THE
UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 FOR SATURDAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST-
NORTHEAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO SOUTH OF NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING
PERIODS OF RAINFALL FOR SUNDAY AND AGAIN DURING THE DAY MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 343 AM EDT FRIDAY...SYNOPTICALLY QUIESCENT CONDITIONS AS
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS SWRN QUEBEC/SERN ONTARIO REMAINS OUR
CONTROLLING WEATHER FEATURE. LIGHT N-NE WINDS AROUND THIS SYSTEM
WILL MAINTAIN SEASONABLY COOL AND DRY AIRSTREAM (DEWPOINTS IN THE
TEENS TO LOWER 20S) INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY. ANOTHER CHILLY START
WITH TEMPS AT DAYBREAK TEMPS MOSTLY IN THE 20S. 850MB TEMPS
RECOVER A BIT BY AFTN...AROUND 0C ACROSS S-CENTRAL VT AND -1C TO
-2C ACROSS THE NORTH. SUNNY SKIES THROUGH JUST SOME THIN CIRRUS
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO WARM A BIT TODAY INTO THE MID 50S FOR HIGHS
IN MOST VALLEY LOCATIONS. HIGH TEMP READINGS WILL STILL BE ABOUT
5DEG BELOW CLIMO AVG FOR LATE APRIL.

CONTINUED QUIET TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS. WEAK MID-LEVEL TROUGH
PASSING TO OUR SOUTH ACROSS PA/NJ MAY SPREAD SOME MID-LEVEL CLOUDS
ACROSS S-CENTRAL VT AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THIS IN THE SKY GRIDS.
MAY ALSO MITIGATE RADIATIVE COOLING A BIT ACROSS SRN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT AGAIN GENERALLY BELOW FREEZING,
RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 343 AM EDT FRIDAY...WITH RESPECT TO THE WEEKEND...ITS
LOOKING LIKE SATURDAY WILL BE A BETTER DAY THAN SUNDAY. WESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ON SATURDAY WITH WARMER AIR MOVING IN AND DRY
CONDITIONS CONTINUING. HIGHS SHOULD BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. BACKING FLOW ALOFT TAKES PLACE SATURDAY NIGHT AND WE EVOLVE
INTO A SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ON SUNDAY WITH UPPER TROUGH AXIS
HAVING DEVELOPED TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. MOISTURE
ADVECTION...INCREASING DYNAMIC SUPPORT...AND INVERTED SURFACE
TROUGH TO CREATE CONVERGENCE ALL SUGGEST INCREASING CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ON SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY BY AFTERNOON. THE CLOUDS AND
PRECIPITATION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN A BIT WITH HIGHS IN THE
50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 343 AM EDT FRIDAY...LOOKING UNSETTLED SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH AXIS MENTIONED IN THE SHORT TERM
DISCUSSION IS SLOW TO MOVE EAST OF THE AREA...THUS KEEPING THE
THREAT OF PRECIPITATION GOING DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. EVENTUALLY
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT DEVELOPS ON TUESDAY AND GRADUALLY BACKS TO
THE SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH TAKES
SHAPE TO OUR WEST AND NORTHWEST. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY...BUT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION INCREASE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS UPPER TROUGH IS SLOW TO MOVE EAST OF THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES DURING THIS LATTER HALF OF THE EXTENDED LOOK
TO BE RIGHT AROUND SEASONAL NORMALS.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS SWRN QUEBEC
AND ONTARIO REMAINS IN CONTROL BRINGING VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT
N-NE WINDS (LESS THAN 10KTS) THRU THE PERIOD. NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE
THRU THE DAY SATURDAY WITH NO SIG WX. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE MOVING
ENEWD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY BRINGS INCREASING CLOUDS WITH
POTENTIAL RAINFALL SUN INTO MON. PREVAILING MVFR W/ INTERVALS OF
IFR POSSIBLE AND HIR TRRN OBSCD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...BANACOS
NEAR TERM...BANACOS
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...BANACOS


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.