Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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FXUS63 KICT 221814
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1214 PM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday night)
Issued at 256 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

The rain will taper off across south central Kansas early this
morning and looks to linger over southeast Kansas into the early
afternoon hours. Skies will clear from west to east today as the
upper level system moves eastward into the Mississippi Valley region.
Above normal temperatures will prevail for Kansas this period with
next weather system expected to move into the central plains on
Tuesday. A cold front will surge into Kansas on Tuesday, however
temperatures should warm up rather nicely ahead of this front with
upper 50s and 60s across eastern Kansas. Precipitation chances with
this next weather system still look more favorable north of central
Kansas where better upper level forcing will reside. We could see
some light rain showers Tuesday afternoon possibly changing to a
light wintry precipitation Tuesday night over central Kansas. Not
expecting much to occur from this activity.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 256 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Dry and quiet weather conditions expected for this period across
Kansas even though we will remain under the influence of long wave
upper level troughing. Moisture will be kept well south of the
region limiting any precipitation chances. Daytime highs will
remain around normal for late January.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1154 AM CST Sun Jan 22 2017

Aviation concerns will be minimal through the next 24 hours.

Deep upper low is currently spinning over southern AR with the
wrap around precip about ready to exit far southeast KS. Northerly
surface flow will setup tonight with high confidence in VFR
conditions. Northerly winds will be short-live as winds flip back
around to the south by early Mon afternoon ahead of our next
shortwave.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    51  28  53  37 /  10   0   0   0
Hutchinson      50  27  53  35 /  10   0   0   0
Newton          50  28  52  36 /  10   0   0   0
ElDorado        50  28  53  37 /  20   0   0   0
Winfield-KWLD   52  29  54  38 /  60   0   0   0
Russell         51  25  53  33 /   0   0   0   0
Great Bend      51  25  52  34 /   0   0   0   0
Salina          50  25  53  34 /  10   0   0   0
McPherson       49  26  52  35 /  10   0   0   0
Coffeyville     50  29  53  38 /  90   0   0   0
Chanute         48  28  51  36 /  60   0   0   0
Iola            48  28  50  36 /  50   0   0   0
Parsons-KPPF    49  28  52  37 /  80   0   0   0

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CDJ
LONG TERM...CDJ
AVIATION...RBL


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