Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 241901
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
301 PM EDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.SHORT TERM (Tonight and Monday)...
The closed upper low near the Gulf Coast and the high pressure
ridge along the eastern seaboard will retrograde through this
period, but there will be virtually no change in the sensible
weather across the area compared to today. Above normal
temperatures with no precip and light winds will persist through
tomorrow. Will lean tomorow`s high temperatures on the warm side
of guidance and close to persistence as much of the TN Valley
hasn`t seen rain in quite some time.

.LONG TERM (Monday Night through Sunday)...
Will see little change in area weather through Wednesday with
high pressure continuing to dominate. This will keep conditions
dry and temperatures warm. Highs are expected to climb well into
the 80s across most valley locations both Tuesday and Wednesday. A
cold front remains on track to move through the area
Thursday/Thursday night. This system looks less impressive with
each model run. Moisture appears to be quite limited and the
forecast will only have a few northern locations with POPs
approaching 20. Dry and cooler air will move in behind the exiting
system on Friday but do see some differences in models for the
Friday through Sunday time frame. The main questions are... will a
secondary surge of cold air move in and will an upper low well to
our north be able to affect the Southern Appalachian Region.
Current trend is towards a mainly dry period with temperatures
generally near to slightly below normal.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             66  89  66  89 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  64  87  64  87 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       64  88  64  87 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              56  88  61  85 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

DGS/MJB



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