Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 260454 AAA
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1154 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015

.AVIATION...26/06Z TAF ISSUANCE...
PRIMARY AVIATION CHALLENGE OVERNIGHT WILL BE POTENTIAL MVFR FOG
DEVELOPMENT. BKN TO OVC MID-LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUE TO LINGER ACROSS
CENTRAL TO ERN OK... WITH A WINDOW OF CLEARING ACROSS WRN OK AND
WRN N TX... WITH SCT MID-LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE TX PH. AT 05Z...
KDUC DIPPED TO 5SM BR. WITH NEARLY CALM WINDS AND SFC DPT
DEPRESSIONS OF 2 TO 3 DEGREES... MVFR FOG APPEARS LIKELY TO
DEVELOP ACROSS SRN TO CENTRAL OK AND WRN N TX. LIGHT SOUTH WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING... WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF TSRA
DEVELOPING LATE TUE AFTN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. HAVE
CONFIDENCE IN TEMPOS ACROSS SRN OK AND WRN N TX... BUT PROB30S
WILL BE NEEDED FOR CENTRAL OK... AS CONFIDENCE IN NRN EXTENT OF
THUNDER IS LOW.

JTK

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 641 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/

AVIATION...26/00Z TAF ISSUANCE...
VFR CEILINGS SHOULD PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING AT ALL SITES.
GUSTY WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED BEHIND THE PRIMARY REGION OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. WINDS MAY RELAX ENOUGH
OVERNIGHT FOR MVFR FOG TO DEVELOP AT MOST SITES... PERSISTING
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. FELT CONFIDENT TO PUT TEMPOS IN FOR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE TMRW AFTN/EVENING AT SITES ACROSS CENTRAL...
WESTERN... AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS.

JTK

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED TO EXIT THE AREA EARLY
THIS EVENING... SO ANTICIPATE LETTING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH EXPIRE
AT 00Z THIS EVENING.

OTHERWISE... NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF CHANGES MOVING FORWARD. WE
STILL SEE AN ACTIVE WEEK AHEAD WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS. NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS MAY BE MORE SCATTERED...
HOWEVER MORE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS BY THE END OF THE WEEK... BRINGING INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES
ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND CONT STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER RISK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  58  81  63  83 /  10  30  50  40
HOBART OK         56  80  60  85 /  10  20  30  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  58  85  65  87 /  10  30  30  40
GAGE OK           52  79  56  83 /  20  20  20  30
PONCA CITY OK     58  80  62  83 /  20  20  40  30
DURANT OK         61  82  67  84 /  20  20  40  30

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$



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