Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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FXUS64 KOUN 240237
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
937 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The few showers that formed late this afternoon over south-central
and southeast Oklahoma--and prompted a minor forecast update--
have dissipated. No further precipitation is expected in our
forecast area overnight, although we can`t completely rule out
some rain in far northwest Oklahoma toward morning.

No (additional) forecast updates are planned for this evening.

CmS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 634 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017/

AVIATION...
24/00Z TAFs. VFR conditions expected to prevail through at least
14Z with gusty southeast winds continuing across western Oklahoma
terminals. Cigs near MVFR will move into western Oklahoma after
14Z with scattered to numerous showers to follow. After 18Z, will
include MVFR conditions and tempo/prob30 tsra KGAG/KWWR down to
KCSM.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 346 PM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Clouds that have formed late this morning and afternoon will
dissipate by early evening and should yield no rain. West and
north of our area, several areas of rain and thunderstorms have
developed ahead of a large western trough and stronger mid/upper
level flow. As the trough lifts northeast over the next several
days, rain and thunderstorm chances will increase, especially
across western Oklahoma and western north Texas Sunday into
Monday.

Meridional flow and better ascent to our west will keep higher
rain chances across the high Plains, but scattered showers and a
few storms may move into western Oklahoma Sunday into Sunday
night. As a surface front moves across Oklahoma Monday into
Tuesday, rain and thunderstorm chances will increase across
central and southern Oklahoma and north Texas. Some of the rain
may be heavy Sunday night into Monday, especially across western
Oklahoma and western north Texas.

The surface cold front will be well south of the area by late
Tuesday into Wednesday, but an elevated boundary should result in
at least widely scattered showers. By late week, another push of
cooler air drier air will arrive which will bring an end to rain
and storm chances.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  70  87  68  83 /   0  10  10  30
Hobart OK         70  87  69  78 /  10  20  50  50
Wichita Falls TX  70  90  69  86 /   0  10  10  20
Gage OK           68  80  65  71 /  10  50  60  70
Ponca City OK     70  89  68  84 /   0  10  10  40
Durant OK         70  90  68  88 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

23/11



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