Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
700 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2014

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-091400-
700 AM MST FRI NOV 7 2014

...NO CHANGES IN CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...

OCTOBER OF 2014 WAS A VERY WARM AND MAINLY DRY MONTH ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...WHICH SAW ABOVE NORMAL TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR THE MONTH AS A WHOLE...DUE TO THE REMNANTS OF
HURRICANE SIMON MOVING ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO ON OCTOBER 9TH AND
10TH.

THE US DROUGHT MONITOR RECENTLY MADE IMPROVEMENTS IN THE MULTI-YEAR
DROUGHT ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO. HOWEVER...WITH THE WARM AND MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REST OF OCTOBER AND EARLY NOVEMBER...THE
CURRENT US DROUGHT MONITOR IS INDICATING NO CHANGES IN CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE CURRENT DROUGHT MONITOR CONTINUES TO INDICATE
SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF
CROWLEY COUNTY...EASTERN OTERO COUNTY AND THE EASTERN 2/3RDS OF LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY. SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED ACROSS
ALL OF KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS WESTERN LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...AND THE REST OF OTERO
AND CROWLEY COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
INDICATED ACROSS SOUTHERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...EASTERN MINERAL
COUNTY...RIO GRANDE COUNTY...CONEJOS COUNTY...MOST OF ALAMOSA
COUNTY AND WESTERN COSTILLA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN INDICATED ACROSS EXTREME
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...MOST OF HUERFANO COUNTY...CENTRAL
PUEBLO COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY. ABNORMALLY
DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED ACROSS CENTRAL SAGUACHE
COUNTY...MOST OF THE REST OF MINERAL COUNTY...AS WELL AS EASTERN
ALAMOSA COUNTY AND THE REST OF COSTILLA COUNTY.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES THE REST OF EL
PASO...PUEBLO...HUERFANO...SAGUACHE AND MINERAL COUNTIES...AS WELL
AS ALL OF LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER AND CUSTER COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS...WITH CURED FUELS AND INCREASING WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FALL AND WINTER SEASONS.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND
AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS BEING INDICATED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.

THE LATEST USDA COLORADO CROP REPORT INDICATED NEARLY OPTIMAL
CONDITIONS OVER THE PAST WEEK FOR HARVEST ACTIVITIES...AS
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ALLOWED STANDING CROPS TO DRY TO IDEAL
MOISTURE CONTENT IN PREPARATION FOR HARVESTING.

TOP SOIL MOISTURE ACROSS THE STATE OVER THE PAST WEEK WAS RATED
AT 7 PERCENT VERY SHORT...33 PERCENT AT SHORT...57 PERCENT AT
ADEQUATE AND 2 PERCENT IN SURPLUS CONDITIONS. SUB SOIL MOISTURE
ACROSS THE STATE ALSO SHOWS A SIMILAR TREND WITH 15 PERCENT RATED
AT VERY SHORT...32 PERCENT RATED AT SHORT...52 PERCENT RATED AT
ADEQUATE AND 1 PERCENT IN SURPLUS CONDITIONS.

PASTURE AND RANGELAND ACROSS THE STATE ALSO REMAIN IN BETTER
SHAPE AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS YEARS...WITH 65 PERCENT RATED AT
FAIR TO GOOD OVER THIS PAST WEEK...AS COMPARED TO THE 5 YEAR
AVERAGE OF 60 PERCENT RATED FAIR TO GOOD.

HYDROLOGIC...

THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE LAST MONTH...ALONG WITH THE ABUNDANT
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUMMER MONSOON...CONTINUES TO
BE BENEFICIAL TO BOTH WATER USERS AND PROVIDERS ACROSS THE AREA.

STREAMFLOW ACROSS THE AREA AT THE END OF OCTOBER REMAINED GENERALLY
NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA.

RESERVOIR STORAGE AT THE END OF OCTOBER REMAINED IN BETTER SHAPE THAN
IN PREVIOUS YEARS...ALTHOUGH THE EXACT STORAGE NUMBERS ARE NOT AVAILABLE
AT THIS TIME.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS 46.8
DEGREES. THIS IS 3.6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES OCTOBER OF 2014
THE 7TH WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.70 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH IS 0.02 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL. A TRACE OF SNOW WAS RECORDED IN ALAMOSA THROUGH OUT
THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH IS 2.1 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER
WAS 53.5 DEGREES. THIS IS 4.1 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES OCTOBER
OF 2014 THE 8TH WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED
2.96 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF OCTOBER. THIS
IS 2.13 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES OCTOBER OF 2014 THE 3RD WETTEST
OCTOBER ON RECORD. OF NOTE...ALL OF THIS PRECIPITATION WAS RECORDED
OVER A TWO DAY PERIOD (OCTOBER 9TH AND 10TH)...WITH MOST FALLING
ON OCTOBER 9TH (2.83 INCHES)...WHICH SHATTERED THE PREVIOUS RECORD
PRECIPITATION FOR THE DAY (0.59 INCHES) IN 1967. COLORADO SPRINGS
RECORDED A TRACE OF SNOW THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH
IS 2.9 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO FOR THE MONTH OF OCTOBER WAS 55.9
DEGREES. THIS IS 4.1 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND MAKES OCTOBER OF 2014
THE 18TH WARMEST OCTOBER ON RECORD. PUEBLO RECEIVED 0.91 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION THROUGH OUT THE MONTH OF OCTOBER...WHICH IS 0.19
INCHES ABOVE NORMAL. OF NOTE...MOST OF THIS PRECIPITATION (0.89
INCHES) FELL OVER A TWO DAY PERIOD (OCTOBER 9TH AND 10TH)...WITH
MOST OF THAT FALLING ON OCTOBER 9TH (0.69 INCHES)...WHICH BROKE
THE PREVIOUS RECORD PRECIPITATION FOR THE DAY (0.60 INCHES) IN 2005.
THERE WAS NO SNOW RECORDED IN PUEBLO THROUGH OUT OCTOBER...WHICH
IS 1.3 INCHES BELOW NORMAL.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.70/+0.02  1.64/-1.22  3.41/-1.49   6.79/-0.52
COS AIRPORT    2.96/+2.14  5.91/+0.56 14.39/+1.67  16.96/+0.42
PUB AIRPORT    0.91/+0.19  2.79/-1.02  7.58/-1.16  11.50/-1.07

EADS           1.89/+0.68  5.31/+0.51 16.51/+4.83  18.46/+2.78
LAMAR          0.88/+0.08  5.84/+1.51 13.38/+1.79  16.00/+0.80
WALSH 1W       1.27/-0.29  5.35/-0.69 11.77/-2.63  14.81/-4.35
CAMPO 7S       0.90/-0.48  6.54/+0.80 12.30/-0.69  13.34/-3.62
ORDWAY 21N     0.86/+0.12  2.81/-1.17  6.41/-3.01   7.75/-4.80
LAS ANIMAS     1.21/+0.13  2.54/-1.39  7.71/-2.27  10.89/-2.84
KIM 15NNE      3.19/+2.08  8.13/+3.26 15.12/+3.68  18.18/+1.34
CANON CITY     1.11/+0.21  2.65/-1.51  6.98/-1.68  11.44/-2.03
RYE 1SW        1.93/+0.46  5.92/-0.22 17.88/+3.19  28.18/+3.07
WESTCLIFFE     0.87/-0.11  3.71/-0.47 11.79/+2.79  17.11/+2.56
WALSENBURG 1NW 1.65/+0.46  4.49/+0.02 12.76/+2.93  19.22/+1.18
TRINIDAD       0.96/-0.30  3.85/-1.42  9.33/-2.05  13.56/-2.75
CRESTONE 2SE   0.77/-0.22  4.57/+0.06  9.66/+0.85  15.64/+2.38
DEL NORTE 2E   0.63/-0.20  2.79/-1.10  5.07/-1.96   7.93/-2.63
BUENA VISTA 2S 1.16/+0.30  4.20/+0.33  6.57/-0.81   9.84/-0.75
CLIMAX         1.31/-0.40  6.70/+0.77 12.85/+1.25  28.47/+4.49

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT WEEK INDICATE BETTER CHANCES
OF COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...ALONG WITH EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW
OR NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION. WITH A WEAK EL NINO STILL EXPECTED
TO EMERGE THROUGH THE LATE FALL INTO THE WINTER SEASON...THE
OUTLOOK FOR REST OF NOVEMBER...DECEMBER AND JANUARY INCLUDE EQUAL
CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA...SAVE A SLIGHT TILT TOWARD ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN COLORADO.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH
JANUARY 31ST INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS REMAINING...THOUGH SHOWING
SOME IMPROVEMENT...ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY FRIDAY DECEMBER 5TH 2014...OR
SOONER IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN
CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

$$



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